Global primary aluminium production sets new record in October 2024: global trend and regional analysis
World primary aluminium production marked an important milestone in October 2024, reaching a new all-time high of 6.221 million tonnes, according to data from the International Aluminium Institute (IAI). This represents a growth of 3.56% over the previous month...
The Challenges of the Battery Supply Chain in Europe: Between Growth Difficulties and Global Competition
The battery industry in Europe is facing numerous difficulties that hinder its competitiveness and progressive quest for self-sufficiency, particularly in view of the growing demand for electric vehicles (EVs). Despite the projected expansion of the market, lack of...
Donald Trump’s Return to the White House: What Impacts on Global Trade and the Aluminium Sector?
Donald Trump's return to the White House as the 47th President of the United States after his victory in the 2024 election against Kamala Harris has already sparked intense speculation about how his economic and trade policies may affect the global environment. After...
The Impact of the U.S. Election on the Nonferrous Metals Market: Two Contrasting Scenarios
The U.S. presidential election is a moment of great significance not only for American domestic politics but also for the global economy. The victory of Donald Trump or Kamala Harris could lead to diametrically opposed economic and trade policies, with significant...
Volatility in the Industrial Metals Market
In the recent period, the industrial metals market has been going through a period of considerable volatility, affected by significant events affecting various sectors, particularly aluminum, copper and zinc. These fluctuations have raised concerns about the stability...
Declining World Crude Steel Production: Global Trends and Prospects
The World Steel Association (worldsteel) recently released data on world crude steel production for September 2024, showing a significant contraction globally. Total production stood at 143.6 million tonnes, marking a decrease of 4.7 per cent year-on-year. This...
3-Month $/ton Copper Forecast for Q4
The copper market is experiencing a particularly interesting phase, characterised by a combination of a bullish technical trend and speculative positioning that reflects the future vision of market participants. Using both technical analysis and data from the LME's...
The Ferrous Scrap Market in 2024: Global Dynamics and Future Prospects
The global scrap metal market is going through a phase of change in 2024, with divergent trends characterizing the major players in the industry. The October 2024 quarterly report published by the Bureau of International Recycling (BIR) provides an overview of supply...
Black Swan Events and Their Impact on Metal Markets: How Companies Can Prepare for the Unexpected
In the world of industrial metals supply, unpredictable and extraordinary events known as ‘Black Swan Events’ can have a devastating impact, forcing companies to respond quickly to protect their business and ensure business continuity. These events, often...
The European Union and Russian Aluminium: Between Geopolitical Pressures and Climate Targets
In recent years, geopolitical tensions have radically transformed the European Union's (EU) approach to primary aluminium imports from Russia. Although there are currently no formal sanctions on Russian aluminium, with the exception of the previous ban on the import...
Optimistic Copper Forecast for the end of 2024
Intervention by our Head of Studies Giacomo Tulino in Il Sole 24 Ore Plus of 14 September 2024. Copper continues to be a crucial player in global markets, especially in the context of energy transition and technological development. After a 2024 characterised by a...
The Joint Venture between Baosteel, Baowu Aluminium and Kobe Steel: Another Move to Dominate the Chinese Automotive Industry?
The European Commission (EC) recently gave the go-ahead to the formation of a joint venture between Baoshan Iron & Steel (Baosteel), Baowu Aluminium and Kobe Steel (Kobelco), in accordance with the EU Merger Regulation. However, although the approval does not...
World Copper Mining Capacity Growth and the Future of the Industry (2024-2028)
Copper is one of the key raw materials for technological and industrial development globally. From infrastructure to emerging technologies such as electric vehicles, the demand for copper continues to grow. However, supply has not always matched this demand, with...
Steel Production in Italy: July Marks a New Contraction Phase
Steel production in Italy continued to suffer the consequences of a complex economic environment, recording a new decline of 3.9% in July compared to the same month last year. This drop, which brings monthly production to 1.7 million tonnes (Mt), is part of a negative...
Copper: Dawn of a Cycle or Beginning of a Decline? Prospects between the Chinese Crisis and Global Ambitions
The copper market, which has always been considered the thermometer of the global economy, is going through an unprecedented period of uncertainty. On Thursday, 8 August 2024, copper prices with a September expiry date attempted a modest rally, but failed to regain...
Zinc Prices: An In-Depth View
Looking at the 3-month LME zinc price chart, a key support emerges in the $2,630/mt area. This level corresponds to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement drawn from the rise from the mid-February 2024 lows. This support also coincides with the transit area of the 200-day...
The Relation between Copper and the Dollar Index: Analysis of Market Trends
In the global economic landscape, copper and the dollar index (DXY) play key roles, often in inverse relation. Copper price trends and the strength of the US dollar are key elements influencing many investment decisions and market strategies. The image at the end of...
Analysis of the Euro/Dollar Exchange Rate and the Influence of the Fed and ECB Interest Rates
The year 2024 is shaping up to be a crucial one for global monetary policies, with a particular focus on the moves of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the US Federal Reserve (FED). Both institutions face unique challenges, with the common goal of navigating through...
Rare Earths and the New Chinese Strategy: Global Opportunities and Challenges
On Monday, shares of China's major rare earth producers surged significantly following Beijing's announcement of new regulations aimed at protecting supplies of these strategic minerals crucial to national security. This move, according to some market participants,...
Giacomo Tulino of Commodity Evolution at Il Sole 24 Ore Webinar: An In-Depth Analysis of the Copper Market
In a recent webinar organized by Il Sole 24 Ore, Giacomo Tulino, a consultant at Commodity Evolution, offered a detailed and in-depth analysis of copper prices, focusing on crucial aspects such as rising inventories, declining premiums, and the role of speculation....
The Price of Copper: Between Speculative Rallies and Market Realism
The price of copper, known as 'the doctor of economics' for its ability to predict global economic conditions, has recently gone through a period of impressive volatility. After a period of uninterrupted growth, metal prices have undergone an abrupt correction,...
The US Aluminium Scrap Market: First Quarter 2024 Analysis
The global aluminium scrap market got off to a dynamic start in 2024, with the US experiencing significant developments in its exports and imports in the first quarter of the year. These changes not only reflect a broader economic trend, but also highlight strategic...
Africa and Critical Minerals: Strategic Treasures for the Global Future
Critical minerals, essential for economic development and national security, are becoming increasingly central to global policy discussions. The availability of these resources, often concentrated in a few geographic regions, poses significant risks to the supply...
Crude Steel: Turkey Marks the Strongest Increase in World Production in January-April
Turkey recorded a significant increase in crude steel production in the first four months of 2024, consolidating its position in the global steel industry landscape. According to the Turkish Steel Producers' Association (TCUD), crude steel production in the country...
? Analysis of the Trend of Ferrous Scrap in Italy from 2021 to Today ?
?? In recent years, the ferrous scrap market has seen significant fluctuations. From the peak in 2022 to the subsequent slumps, there are many interesting dynamics to explore. There are 7 categories of ferrous scrap represented by different color lines: Scrap New...
The evolution of global steel production: 2019-2023 trend analysis
A video showing steel production trends in different regions of the world as of 2019, using a 100 basis to standardise trends. ? Video overview The video offers a visual representation of the variations in steel production, highlighting how different regions have...
The revolution in aluminium production
Since 2011, the global primary aluminium production landscape has undergone significant changes. China, with its rapid industrial development, has increased its production share by 14.55%, while other regions of the world have seen a reduction in their weight in the...
Zinc: Third Episode of the Commodity Evolution Series 10′ Speech!
? ??? ?? ?? ??????: ??? ????? ??????? ?? ??? ????????? ????????? ??' ?????? ??????! ? ? ???? ?? ??????? In this episode, we will dive into the dynamic universe of zinc, a key industrial metal listed on the London LME exchange. We will be guided through an in-depth...
LME ban on Russian metals shifts global trade dynamics
China will undoubtedly become an even more important buyer of Russian metals after the London Metal Exchange's ban on newly produced aluminium, copper and nickel. China has already become an important market for Russian products as a result of falling demand in the...
HRC steel: EU coil importers will pay first quarter safeguard taxes
Importers of hot-rolled coils in Europe (HRC) will be required to pay part of the 25 per cent safeguard duties, as the volumes currently cleared have exceeded the allocated quota for the first quarter. Similar to the fourth quarter of 2023, there are almost 1.1...
Aluminum: prices up (as expected) due to offsetting positions to falling stocks
Aluminum prices have been on an upward trend (as widely anticipated by Commodity Evolution's research department) for the past 2 days thanks to the clearing of traders' positions ahead of the end of the third quarter, while daily data showed falling stockpiles and the...
Crude steel: world production increased by 2.2 % in August
The World Steel Association announced that world crude steel production was 152.6 mt in August this year, down 3.7% for the month and up 2.2% year-on-year. In the January-August period, world crude steel production stood at 1.25 billion tonnes, up 0.2% year-on-year....
Aluminium: Glencore bought low volumes from Rusal
Glencore bought only a small portion of the potential 6.9 million tonnes of aluminium it could have purchased in the 2020-2022 period under its contract with Russia's Rusal, which could be extended to 2025. Commodities group Glencore, under pressure to stop buying...
Aluminium: international associations publish action plan ahead of G7 trade ministers’ meeting
The Aluminium Association of Canada, the European Aluminium and the Japan Aluminium Association have published a joint paper for the Group of 7 (G7) trade ministers ahead of their meeting in Osaka, Japan, next October. The document, Aluminium Supply Chain Pathways to...
Aluminium: Russian metal divides negotiators at Barcelona meeting
Russian aluminium is dividing the metal industry as producers and consumers meet this week to work out supply agreements for next year. Some industrial consumers have refused to buy supplies from Russia because of Moscow's invasion of Ukraine, but others argue that...
Copper: imports into China in August fall due to weak demand and rising domestic production
China's copper imports fell 5 per cent in August from a year earlier, customs data showed on Thursday, due to a slowdown in the economy and demand, while domestic producers increased production. Imports of raw copper and copper products, widely used in the...
Aluminum: demand concerns negatively affect prices
A shortage of aluminum due to declining demand in China and elsewhere and rising supplies will undermine prices for the metal used in the transportation, packaging and construction industries, likely through the end of 2023. With shrinking manufacturing activity in...
Aluminum: buyers sleepless over LME listing anxieties
One such topic, recurring in recent months, is B. In particular, much has been said about the potential inability of the LME to reflect the true value of global aluminum prices. While this may be an oversimplified statement, it is essential to note that there is no...
Galliu
Chinese export controls on certain gallium and germanium products take effect today, Tuesday 1 August, and operators are bracing for a drop in international supply in August and September as exporters work out the necessary new permits. China, the world's top supplier...
Crude steel: German production decreased by 5.3% in the first half year
In June this year, crude steel production in Germany fell by 8.4% year-on-year to 2.92 million tonnes, according to information from the German steel federation Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl (WV Stahl). In the period from January to June this year, crude steel...
Aluminium: power outages and low rainfall affect Chinese supply pushing up imports
China has significantly increased its reliance on aluminium imports this year due to lower domestic aluminium supply. According to reports, the move is part of a strategic measure to partially offset lower than average domestic production. Indeed, new customs data...
Alumina: the world’s top producing countries and companies
Alumina is essential for the production of primary aluminium. It is obtained from bauxite ore through the Bayer process and serves as the primary raw material in the Hall-Héroult process, which extracts the non-ferrous metal, aluminium, from its powder form. The...
Rio Tinto acquires a stake in Sovereign Metals focused on graphite
Rio Tinto has agreed to buy a 15% stake in Australia's Sovereign Metals for A$40.4m ($27.6m), becoming a major investor in the critical minerals developer. The move by the world's second-largest miner marks its first public move into the graphite sector as it...
Chilean police stop a copper theft in Escondida
Eleven people were arrested by Chilean police after they were caught stealing four bags of copper concentrate from BHP's Escondida mine in northern Chile, the largest in the world. The thieves, however, intended to steal much more metal, as they were carrying 325...
Materie prime critiche: l’Italia cambia le condizioni per l’export
According to the declaration in the Italian Official Gazette, the government has changed the conditions for the export of critical raw materials. Scrap, including non-Italian scrap, falls into the category of 'critical raw materials' and its exports must be declared....
Steel: Tangshan administration will reduce production in July
The Tangshan local government has asked Grade 11 A steel mills to reduce steel production by 30 per cent and steel mills of Grade B or lower to reduce sintering activities by 50 per cent from 1 to 31 July, as the city's air quality continues to deteriorate. In...
Aluminium: price forecast for July
This paper has been produced by Commodity Evolution's research department, analysing the macroeconomic and technical environment in order to provide an overall view on primary aluminium. It is not news that the London Metal Exchange (LME) has seen a sharp increase in...
Copper: world stock market metal stocks fall to 15-year lows
There is a renewed rush for copper in London Metal Exchange (LME) warehouses. In the past three weeks, LME copper stocks have fallen from 100,100 to 77,050 tons, despite nearly 30,000 tons of arrivals. What arrives turns just as quickly into new output. The available...
Crude steel: production falls 5.1% in May
World crude steel production of the 63 countries belonging to the World Steel Association (worldsteel) was 161.6 million tonnes (Mt) in May 2023, down 5.1% from May 2022. Africa produced 1.3 million tonnes in May 2023, an increase of 18.6% compared to May 2022. Asia...
Aluminium: prices hovering between Russia’s problems and LME
Aluminium prices still do not have enough strength to form a bearish or bullish trend, as quotations have not yet broken out of range significantly, there is no clear trend and the market remains highly volatile. The LME continues to have a Russian problem. After a...
Lithium: India considers a mining royalty of 3% of the LME price
The Indian federal government plans to set the royalty rate that mining companies must pay for lithium extraction at 3% of the prevailing London Metal Exchange (LME) price. India, which is exploring ways to secure supplies of lithium - a key raw material used to make...
Rare earths: US Ambassador to Malaysia Kagan sees potential in critical minerals
Candidate for the post of next US ambassador to Malaysia Edgard Kagan said Tuesday he sees potential for the US to expand cooperation with the Southeast Asian country in diversifying supply chains for rare earths and other critical minerals. Edgard Kagan, a career...
Yunnan will increase energy for aluminium smelters
Power supplies to aluminium smelters in China's southwestern Yunnan province will be increased this month, allowing some capacities in the drought-stricken region to resume operations. Yunnan, China's fourth-largest producer of electrolytic aluminium, has required...
Critical minerals: Namibia bans export of unprocessed products
Namibia has banned the export of lithium and other critical unprocessed minerals in an attempt to take advantage of the growing global demand for metals used in clean energy technologies. The southern African country has significant deposits of lithium, which is...
Iron ore: imports into China increased by 7.7% in January-May
In the January-May period this year, China imported 481 million tonnes of iron ore, up 7.7% year-on-year. The average import price was RMB 791.5/mt ($111.5/mt), down 4.5% year-on-year. Iron ore imports amounted to 96.17 million tonnes in May alone, up 6.34%...
Stainless steel: demand for coils may return in September
Prices for hot and cold rolled coils in Europe have not yet bottomed out and values may continue to fall in June. Some sources in the Northern European flat steel industry believe that the bottom will be reached in July, after scrap prices have reached their lowest...
Copper: hedge funds bet against the metal for the first time in three years
Hedge funds are betting against copper on the London Metal Exchange for the first time since the early months of the pandemic - a sharp reversal from a few weeks earlier, after China's disappointing recovery sent prices plummeting. Data from the LME this week showed...
Copper-cobalt: Congo will increase its share with China
The Democratic Republic of Congo intends to increase its share in a cobalt and copper joint venture with Chinese companies to 70 per cent from 32 per cent, amid fears that the deal will deliver too many of Congo's resources with little benefit to the country. The plan...
Crude steel: world production increased by 2.4 % in April
The World Steel Association announced that world crude steel production in April was 161.4 million tonnes, down 2.4% year-on-year and 3.1% month-on-month. In January-April this year, world crude steel production was 622.7 million tonnes, down 0.3% year-on-year. In...
Tin: supplies may drop from August due to the suspension of mining activities in the Wa region of Myanmar
Global tin supplies could face problems later this year as the Wa region of Myanmar, which contributes 10 per cent of the world's concentrate supplies of the metal, has decided to suspend mining operations 'until mature mining conditions are present' from August....
Tin: supplies may drop from August due to the suspension of mining activities in the Wa region of Myanmar
Global tin supplies could face problems later this year as the Wa region of Myanmar, which contributes 10 per cent of the world's concentrate supplies of the metal, has decided to suspend mining operations 'until mature mining conditions are present' from August....
Copper: prices decline reaching a first support area
LME copper fell sharply on Thursday, 11 May, dropping -3.70 percent, with prices set to suffer their biggest weekly decline since November, as gloomy global economic trends overshadowed the outlook for metal demand as supplies increased. Three-month copper on the...
Scrap and cast iron: the Italian market remains stagnant in April
The Italian cast iron market was mostly quiet in April. The holiday period and plant closures for maintenance work played a part in the market downturn. While most steelmakers expect their prices to fall, they are unwilling to adjust. The gap between prices in the...
Constellium Aluminium’s 3D printing powder has been approved for use in Formula 1
Aluminium foundry Constellium Aluminium said this week that its Aheadd CP1 aluminium additive manufacturing powder has been approved for use in Formula 1 racing cars starting next year. As a result, the company will work with Velo3D and PWR Advanced Cooling Technology...
May 1, 2023: LME exchange and Shanghai closed for holiday
The London Metal Exchange (LME) will be closed on May 1, 2023 for the International Labor Day holiday. Trading will resume regularly on May 2. The Shanghai Metal Exchange will be closed from May 1 until May 3, 2023. Trading will resume regularly on May 4, 2023. ...
Lithium: Argentina plans to produce 200,000 tonnes by 2025
Argentina expects lithium exports to reach $5.6 m by 2025. The figure is based on the production of 200,000 tonnes per year of the battery metal through the development of six new projects in addition to production from two existing lithium mines. The projections are...
Lithium: Chile plans to nationalise its industry
Chilean President Gabriel Boric said he wants to nationalise the country's lithium industry and create a state-owned company to produce the metal, which is a key component of electric vehicle batteries. Boric stated that future contracts for lithium would only be in...
Copper: prices remain sideways, squeezed between supply and bearish economic outlook
Copper prices continued to swing sideways last month, creating uncertainty and risk. Meanwhile, traders and investors continue to closely monitor the market for any signs of a breakout in either direction. As prices move sideways, the copper market remains poised...
Iron ore: Australia cuts export revenue forecast for fiscal year 2023-24
According to the Australian Ministry of Industry, Innovation and Science's quarterly report, Australia's iron ore export revenues would be around A$100 billion in fiscal year 2023-24, down from the A$121 billion projected for fiscal year 2022-23 due to increased...
HRC steel: new upward cue for European market prices
In the week to Friday, March 31, the European hot rolled coil HRC steel market was characterized by sluggish demand and minimal activity, but on April 3, 2023, HRC Hot Rolled Coil - Northern Europe prices triggered an upward cue of +3.69 percent, returning to the...
Steel: European market expects a disruption in coil supplies in April
Major supply chain disruptions are expected across the European coil complex in April and May due to the fires at ArcelorMittal in Spain and France and Tata Steel's force majeure at Ijmuiden in late February. This, combined with a significant reduction in coil...
Cobalt: Jervois halts project in Idaho due to price weakness
Shares of Australian battery metals company Jervois Global tumbled on Wednesday after the company announced it was halting final construction of its flagship Idaho Cobalt Operations (ICO) project in the US. The decision was prompted by weak cobalt prices and...
Crude steel: world production down 1% in February
World crude steel production in February fell by 1% year-on-year to 142.4 million tonnes, according to data from the World Steel Association (worldsteel). In January-February this year, global crude steel production decreased by 0.8% year-on-year to 297.8 million...
Lithium: prices in China halve in just four months
The lithium frenzy, which saw Chinese prices of the material for electric vehicle batteries soar more than 1,300 percent in just two years, has turned into a rapid descent. Prices of lithium carbonate, the benchmark product, have halved after soaring last November....
HRC steel: European producers keep bids high despite reduced activity
Hot-rolled coil HRC prices remained broadly stable in Europe on Monday, March 20, with producers staying positive thanks to strong order books. Trading volumes were limited in the region, with bookings mainly for small lots. Buyers remained cautious about recent price...
Steel: Ekinciler restarts production at full capacity after earthquake
Large Turkish steelmaker Ekinciler Demir Celik has restarted production of long steel products after being interrupted by the Feb. 6 earthquakes. Ekinciler has a capacity of 1.25 million tons of liquid steel and produces billet and rebar from 8-50 mm. Most steel mills...
Ferrous scrap: in Italy prices show a stable lateral upward trend
According to a statement by the Italian association of scrap, raw materials and steel distributors Assofermet, italian prices for Italian scrap remained unchanged in February. Last week's tight supply caused the prices of many types of scrap to rise, with calls for...
Iron ore: BHP signs contracts with Shandong ports for yuan-settled business
Global mining company BHP has signed contracts with Shandong ports, which account for about a quarter of China's annual iron ore production, to settle iron ore spot trade in yuan this year. All four of the world's major iron ore producers are now working with Chinese...
HRC steel: a rise in European prices expected
Hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices in Europe are expected to rise gradually, as buyers expect to start sourcing soon. ArcelorMittal has increased coil bids by 20 euros/mt across Europe. HRC's new bids in Germany reached 840 euros/mt ex-Ruhr plant and in Italy 820 euros/mt...
Aluminium and Russian metals: US extends punitive economic measures
Aluminium will be the hardest hit with tariffs of 200% on imports of Russian metal, effective 10 March, and on imports of any third country products containing Russian metal, effective 10 April. Tariffs on imports of other metals, such as copper and lead, will double...
Stainless steel: production expected to reach 60 mln tonnes in 2023
MEPS predicts that global stainless steel production will reach 60 mln tons in 2023. Contributing significantly to this growth will be steel mills in China and Indonesia. India is likely to remain the third largest stainless steel producing country in 2023, but its...
Copper: reversal phase without affecting the medium-term bullish trend
The current reversal in copper prices is not affecting the medium-term bullish trend for the time being. After Peru's main mines suffered a drop in activity in recent weeks due to supply blockades, protesters temporarily lifted the blockade of a key mining highway in...
Rare earth: MP Materials bypasses China in supply agreement with Sumitomo
US rare earth producer MP Materials has signed an agreement with Sumitomo Corp. to supply the Japanese giant with key elements such as neodymium and praseodymium, helping the trading house bypass China in its EV rare earth supply chains. MP Materials, owner of the...
Ferrous scrap: incentives are needed to increase demand in the EU
Breaking myths and defining a new roadmap for decarbonising steel through recycling is the main title of a document published by the European Confederation of Recycling Industries (EURIC). The European recycling industry currently leads the world in steel recycling...
Steel scrap Italy: trend from July 2022 to January 2023
Steel scrap Italy: trend from July 2022 to January 2023
Metal scrap: China remains the largest user of scrap despite falling consumption
According to the Bureau of International Recycling (BIR), China's scrap consumption in the first nine months of 2022 fell 6.7% year-on-year to 170.83 million tonnes, but the country remained the world's largest user of scrap. The country's crude steel production fell...
Rare earth: Lynas plant risks partial closure
Malaysian regulators renewed the operating licence for Lynas' Rare Earths unit but retained conditions that will prevent Lynas from importing and processing rare earth concentrate after 1 July. Lynas, the world's largest producer of rare earths outside China, will...
Non ferrous metals: trend as of February 9, 2023
Non ferrous metals: trend as of February 9, 2023
Aluminium: prices settling after January’s surge
At the beginning of February, aluminium price action showed a short-term sideways trend, following a January surge that led to new period highs in the $2,678/mt area. Several months ago, the LME decided not to proceed with any restrictions on the Russian-sourced...
Copper: fighting for critical mineral status
Some of the biggest names in copper have found high-level political allies who support their efforts to have the harness metal added to the list of minerals considered critical to the United States. Copper are fighting for critical mineral status. Independent Senator...
Copper: MMG closes Las Bambas mine due to unrest
Mining company MMG Ltd was forced to close Las Bambas copper mine due to community unrest triggered by the ousting of President Pedro Castillo late last year, putting its plant in Peru, the world's second largest copper producing country, under maintenance. Nationwide...
Nickel: supply risk with potential export tax Philippines
The Philippines, the world's second-largest nickel supplier, could tax nickel exports, following neighbouring Indonesia, thus increasing uncertainty over supply as the market adjusts to the wave of new demand for electric vehicles. The Southeast Asian nation is...
Crude steel: world production falls 10.8% in December
The World Steel Association (Worldsteel) announced that world crude steel production fell by 10.8% year-on-year to 140.7 million tonnes in December last year. For the year as a whole, world crude steel production stood at 1.83 billion tonnes, down 4.3% year-on-year....
Aluminium: stocks still at low levels
As with many base metals, prices rose in early January, with aluminium stocks remaining at their lowest levels. Although it is true that China's increase in aluminium export taxes may have affected aluminium prices, the market has seen rather volatile conditions since...
Metal crap: German association VDM denounces EU regulation once again
The Berlin association Verband Deutscher Metallhändler und Recycler e. V. (VDM) has once again denounced a proposed EU regulation that will make international trade in scrap metal more difficult. In mid-January, the European Parliament voted by a majority to adopt a...
Rare earth: Sweden announces discovery of Europe’s largest deposit
The Swedish government has announced the discovery of the largest deposit of rare earths in Europe. These mineral elements are a key component of high-tech products, particularly batteries. Until now, Europe has been dramatically dependent on third countries, such as...
Copper: robbers pull off multimillion-dollar heist in Chilean port
A group of gunmen in Chile stole several containers full of copper belonging to state-owned giant Codelco on Wednesday, increasing pressure on the security of shipments in the world's largest copper producer. The assailants took 13 containers destined for China from...
LME ends an uncertain year with dangerously low stocks
The London Metal Exchange will enter 2023 with the lowest inventories in at least 25 years, setting the stage for future pressures and spikes if demand proves stronger than expected. Available stocks of the six major metals traded on the LME fell by two-thirds in...
China and Australia toward renewed trade in iron ore, coke and other goods
It has been 50 years since Australia first established diplomatic relations with China. But compared to the relative enthusiasm of the early years, modern relations between the two nations are in a deep freeze. Certainly, Australia's call for an international...
Aluminum: Brazil will impose duties on Chinese imports
The Brazilian government will impose trade sanctions on aluminum imports from vendors in the People's Republic of China. According to an announcement by the Chinese Ministry of Commerce last week, the Brazilian government will begin imposing countervailing duties at...
Primary aluminum: deficit budget in the period January-October 2022
The primary aluminum market balance closed with a deficit of 981 thousand tons. This follows a deficit of about 1.734 mln tons recorded for the entire previous year. Global aluminum production in the first ten months of this year increased by nearly 378 thousand tons...
Aluminum: quarterly trend remains consistently positive
Aluminum prices broke out of their sideways trend last month with strong upward action. Prices rose during the first half of November, followed by a modest retracement before continuing to climb. In early November, China seemed to vacillate between easing virus...
Copper and cobalt: ERG and Gécamines restart Boss Mining project
The plant, which has been under maintenance for more than three years at the end of February 2019, will reach full capacity by March 2023, producing an average of 1,800 tons per month of copper cathode and 300 tpm of cobalt hydroxide. The restart of cobalt hydroxide...
Commodities: China’s Politburo meeting and price cap on Russian oil will drive markets this week
Global risk appetite received a much-needed boost from a less hawkish commentary by U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and the softening of some COVID restrictions in China. In the week just past, the dollar started on a positive note, buoyed by purchases of...
Aluminum: prices in break out phase
Primary aluminum listed on the London Metal Exchange continues its upward move (+1.95 percent as of 12:00 GMT+1), with the third consecutive positive session. Prices currently appear to be in the process of breaking out (breaking to the upside) of an important...
Thermal coal: back to the situation before the invasion of Ukraine
The global thermal coal market has returned to the situation before Russia's attack on Ukraine, with prices of most types of seaborne coal falling to pre-invasion levels, while volumes have remained stable. Prices of seaborne thermal coal surged after the Feb. 24...
Cot Report metals: positive signs on the speculative side
After the decidedly negative phase of the last few months, triggered between July and October, depending on the reference metal, there have been first signs of recovery, widely predicted on Oct. 26 by our study office (link here). Another useful tool for forecasting...
Copper: Escondida getting closer to production shutdown
Unionized workers at the Escondida mine in northern Chile have rejected the latest offer from BHP (ASX, LON, NYSE: BHP), which was seeking to avoid a strike at the world's largest copper mine at a time of global supply shortages and high prices. The Australian miner...
Metals: new Chinese data for October 2022 published
Released data for October 2022 from the General Administration of Customs of the People's Republic of China (GACC). Among the major commodities we monitor we highlight: COPPER China's exports stood at 58,965 tons in October with a trend change of -14.89% and a...
Primary aluminum: Chinese production grows 9.5 percent in October
The National Bureau of Statistics revealed that China's primary aluminum production in October 2022 increased by 9.5 percent year-on-year, buoyed by ease of curbing consumption compared to the previous year and growth in exports. NBS data showed that the country...
Commodities: prices rebound after China loosens some Covid restrictions
Commodities, from oil to iron ore and copper, rose after China eased some restrictions on Covid, raising hopes for a pickup in demand in the world's second-largest economy. Nearly all major commodities rose after news that China reduced the amount of time travelers...
Rare earth: Japan seeks them 6,000 meters under the sea to counter China
Japan is seeking rare earths 6,000 meters under the sea to counter China's dominance of these critical minerals, used for everything from smartphones to weapons. The government plans to start developing the methods needed to mine the elements near the Ogasawara...
Alert Eur/Usd: firm rebounds expected at least to 1.0350 area
After falling below parity on September 19, 2022 and accelerating downward to 0.9543, the Eur/Usd exchange rate has shown first signs of reaction, currently favoring a recovery of 4.34 percent from the lows recorded on September 28, 2022. The current medium/long-term...
Crude steel: world production rises 0.73% month-on-month
World crude steel production for the 64 countries under the World Steel Association (Worldsteel) was 151.7 million tons (Mt) in September 2022, an increase of 3.7 percent over September 2021 and a smaller month-on-month increase of 0.73 percent. China produced 87.0 Mt...
Zinc: Glencore slows melting of energy-intensive metal
Glencore plans to put the zinc smelting line at its Nordenham plant in northern Germany on maintenance as of Nov. 1. This represents another blow to the European metals industry, which continues to experience shutdowns due to the energy crisis across the continent. In...
Aluminum: Alcoa urges LME not to accept Russian metal to avoid crisis
Alcoa Corp. the largest aluminum producer in the United States, has told the London Metal Exchange that Russian metal should not be traded on the benchmark industrial metals exchange. Kelly Thomas, the company's Chief Commercial Officer, wrote in a letter to the LME...
Rare earth: the race for supplies in the West is hampered by the energy crisis
The West's race to reduce dependence on Chinese rare earth metals continues to face energy-related obstacles. Europe's energy problems appear to be getting worse with the withdrawal of Russian troops from Ukraine and Putin's doubling of gas restrictions. Not only are...
Copper: Chinese premium will remain high due to improving demand
The spot premium for copper in China, the main consumer, may remain high in the coming months, according to analysts and traders, as demand for the metal has improved due to government stimulus. The spot premium for refined copper was $85.25 a ton Thursday, up from...
Aluminum: metal supply affected by industrial closures
Things may look better in China than they are, at least as far as the country's metals and minerals markets are concerned. However, China still remains the top destination for European steel and aluminum supplies. Europe's energy-sensitive factories and aluminum...
Metals: can Europe save the industrial sector?
A massive and rapid deployment of renewable energy is crucial for Europe to end its dependence on Russian fossil fuels. According to the European Commission, solar energy will be "the linchpin of this effort." The only problem is that the global solar supply chain is...
Aluminum: price falls on strong dollar and demand outlook
Aluminum prices fell today to 17-month lows and most other metals lost ground as faltering global economic growth weakened the demand outlook and strengthened the dollar. The dollar has strengthened in 2022 more than in any year since 1981 and reached a 20-year high...
Aluminum: prices on standby, weighed by weak demand
Shanghai aluminum prices rose Thursday, buoyed by depleted inventories and rising energy costs, but prospects for weakening demand limited gains. Norsk Hydro NHY.OL said Wednesday it will close an aluminum production plant in Slovakia by the end of September,...
HRC steel: price drop in northern Europe with consumption uncertain in September
Market participants confirmed trading at lower prices in the North European hot-rolled coil market on August 9 amid growing uncertainty over September consumption. Northwest European HRC was down at 796 euros/mt, down 1.30 percent from 806.50 euros/mt the previous...
Industrial metals are supported by weakening dollar ahead of U.S. jobs report
Copper and most other base metals continued to find support in the weakening U.S. dollar Friday amid expectations of a slowdown in July job growth in the United States ahead of a much-anticipated jobs report later in the day. Copper prices posted a three-day loss...
Copper: prices recovering thanks to Chinese stimulus and infrastructure
Copper prices are expected to rebound further in the coming months after heavy losses, thanks to increased infrastructure spending and other stimulus to the economy from China. Lme-listed 3-month copper fell 36 percent in the four months after hitting a record high of...
Steel: global production down 5.5 percent year-on-year
According to World Steel Association data released July 22, global crude steel production stood at 949.5 million tons in the first half of 2022, down 5.5 percent year-on-year. Total June production hit a four-month low of 158.1 million tons, down 5.9 percent from a...
Iron ore: price falls as China’s demand outlook weakens
Iron ore futures in Dalian and Singapore fell on Thursday as investors refocused on the gloomy outlook for Chinese demand after the government's rhetoric on economic stimulus faded. Concerns remained over the COVID-19 blocks in China, the world's top steel producer,...
Copper: minimum descent targets achieved. Potential technical rebounds in sight
The current slump in 3-month dollar/tonne Lme copper prices is being influenced by fears of a global recession, which continue to grow and dampen demand prospects for the metal. The sharp drop comes amid continuing concerns that China, which accounts for half of world...
Phinergy and IOP enter into a pact with Hindalco to produce aluminium-air batteries for electric vehicles
Israeli clean energy company Phinergy and the Indo-Israeli joint venture IOC Phinergy Private Limited have signed an agreement with Hindalco Industries to develop aluminium-air batteries for electric vehicles and energy storage. IOC Phinergy Private Limited (IOP) is a...
Aluminium: Chinese production grows by 3.2% y-o-y in June
China's primary aluminium production increased by 3.2% to 3.39 million tonnes in June from a year earlier, thanks to higher global prices. June production fell slightly by 0.9% from the previous month, when it reached a record 3.42 million tonnes. Aluminium prices...
HRC steel: prices remain stable pending supplies
Hot-rolled coil prices in Northwest Europe stood at 825 euro/ton on 13 July, up slightly (+0.24%) from the previous day's reading (823 euro/ton), as market activity remained low and stocks are expected to be replenished by the end of July. The expected replenishment...
Batteries: Umicore plans $1.2 billion factory in Ontario
Belgium-based Umicore plans to invest $1.2 billion to build a battery materials manufacturing plant in the Canadian province of Ontario, which would supply components to one million electric vehicles by 2030. The Canadian government and Umicore have signed a...
Crude steel: China’s daily production falls in July
China's daily crude steel production from 1 to 10 July fell 0.8 percent from the end of June to 2.872 million mt per day, but output was still 2.6 percent higher than a year earlier, according to data from the China Iron & Steel Association on 13 July. The...
Car sales in China up 24% year-on-year
In June, car sales and production in China increased year-on-year by 23.8 per cent and 28.2 per cent respectively, according to the latest data released by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) on 11 July. Compared to May, total vehicle sales grew...
Aluminium: Commission decided not to extend suspension of anti-dumping duties on Chinese AFRP imports
The Commission has decided not to extend the suspension of anti-dumping duties on imports of AFRP (aluminium flat rolled products) originating in China. The measure will start tomorrow 12 July 2022. The anti-dumping duty rates will vary from 14.3% to 24.6%. [button...
Political changes increase the risk for Latin American miners
Increasing demand for participation in natural resource revenues, stricter environmental protection regulations and legislative changes are increasing risks for mining and energy companies across Latin America, even in countries once considered safe investment...
Alumina: the market enters the third quarter amid unexpected surpluses and stock reduction risks
In the third quarter, the global alumina market will continue to contend with disruptions in trade flows caused by the war between Russia and Ukraine and an Australian oversupply, with the restart of refineries and smelters and downside risks in the Atlantic basin...
Caustic soda: GACL to expand installed capacity to 900,000 MTPA by 2022
Ahead of the expansion of the caustic soda market globally, Vadodara-based Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals (GACL) is going to increase its current installed capacity of about 520,000 metric tonnes per annum (MTPA) to about 900,000 MTPA by the end of 2022 through the...
Lithium: Albemarle plans major processing plant in the US
Albemarle Corp plans to build a lithium processing plant in the US that would produce as much metal for electric vehicle batteries as the entire company produces today, a bet on America's all-electric future. The plan reflects Albemarle's emerging strategy to lead the...
Steel: European Commission confirms definitive safeguard quota measures
The European Commission has released final plans to introduce global quotas for certain products and to maintain safeguard measures for steel until 2024. After the annual review of the safeguard measures, the EC sent a draft proposal to the WTO on 30 May, stating that...
Copper: the metal suffers a sharp weekly loss due to concerns over slowing demand
Copper prices in London headed for their worst week in a year on Friday, while prices in Shanghai headed for their steepest weekly drop since March 2020, as worries grew over recession and weak economic readings indicated a likely impact on demand. Three-month copper...
Steel: crude production in May fell by 3.5 % y/y
World crude steel production for the 64 countries belonging to the World Steel Association was 169.5 million tonnes (Mt) in May 2022, down 3.5% from May 2021. Crude steel production by region: Africa produced 1.1 Mt in May 2022, down 18.9% from May 2021; Asia and...
Aluminium: global production shifts back to China
China produced a record 3.42 million tonnes of primary aluminium in May, as the country's smelters continue to increase production rates. According to the International Aluminium Institute (IAI), the country's annual production increased by 3.66 million tonnes in the...
Guinea gives Simandou iron mine operators a 14-day deadline
Acting President Mamady Doumbouya said partners in Guinea's Simandou iron ore mine have 14 days to finalise a joint venture. Guinea has become increasingly impatient with the companies that control the giant Simandou deposit, which has not been developed since Rio...
Coal: Australian prices fall in June
Newcastle thermal coal prices are expected to remain low in the second half of June and into July, as discounts offered for coal of other origins continue to lure Asian buyers away from Australian coal. Asian buyers, who stayed away from Australian coal after prices...
Palm oil: MEOA warns of possible future losses due to severe labor crisis
According to the a Malaysian Estate Owners' Association (MEOA), Malaysia is missing a golden opportunity to capitalize on high palm oil prices and could suffer further production losses due to a "severe" shortage of about 120,000 workers. The world's second-largest...
Metal exchanges scheduled to close tomorrow due to public holiday
Tomorrow and the day after tomorrow, June 2 and 3, the Lme exchange will be closed for holidays. trading will resume normally on Monday, June 6. China's Shanghai Metal Market will be closed only on June 3. Trading will resume normally on Monday, June 6. To stay...
Shanghai fully reopens to trade
Shanghai, China's largest city, reopened for business on June 1 after a two-month COVID-19 freeze, with most construction sites resuming operations and steel warehouses reopening for cargo pickup. However, demand for rebar in the city may take some time to fully...
Steel: global production down in April
Global crude steel production was 162.7 million tons in April, down 5.1 percent from April 2021, according to World Steel Association data released May 24. Production from January to April was 619.1 million tons, down 7.1 percent from the previous year's levels....
Peru’s president replaces mining minister as crisis intensifies
Peru's President Pedro Castillo has replaced four ministers following the mining crisis and after lawmakers filed motions of censure against some cabinet members. Alessandra Herrera was appointed minister of Mines after the government failed this week to reach an...
Rare earth: second largest resource identified in the United States
NioCorp Developments' Elk Creek project in southeast Nebraska can be considered the second largest rare earth resource in the United States, second only to MP Materials' Mountain Pass rare earth deposit. The discovery follows an updated feasibility study in which rare...
Lithium: Tianqi produces Australia’s first battery hydroxide
Tianqi Lithium Energy Australia announced Wednesday the first production of battery lithium from its Kwinana plant in Western Australia, marking the first time that battery lithium, or lithium hydroxide monohydrate (LHM), has been produced in Australia in commercial...
Expected recovery in demand could dampen China’s steel oversupply
China's oversupplied steel market may soon find some relief as the downward trend in demand is expected to end in the short term. China's daily pig iron production reached a record high in April, at a time when the market faced tepid demand, keeping steel markets...
Shanghai will be leaving the lockdown on June 1, 2022
With the official announcement of Shanghai's exit from the bloc, China is providing a major economic stimulus that is likely to affect not only domestic but also global demand. Chinese officials have confirmed that Shanghai, with a population of more than 25 million,...
Steel: Zaporizhstal targets Polish demand
Ukraine's Zaporizhstal steel mill, partly owned by Metinvest, has started production of a new type of hot-rolled coils for Polish customers. According to Ukrainian media reports, Polish customers have ordered HRCs weighing at least 9 tons each. Previously, to fulfill...
Copper: massive supply needed for electrification of global economy
Robert Friedland, founder and co-president of Ivanhoe Mines reported at the Investing in African Mining Indaba 2022 on May 11 that to maintain 3.5 percent GDP growth, without considering electrification of the global economy, more than 700 million tons of copper will...
Iron ore: price hits nearly 2-month low
Chinese iron ore futures fell as much as 7 percent Tuesday, touching their lowest in nearly two months, fueled by fears of higher interest rates and still stagnant domestic demand. The U.S. Federal Reserve approved a half-point increase in interest rates last week and...
Steel: demand for coils in Italy remains stagnant
Italian sales of cold rolled and hot dip galvanized coils continue to be particularly sluggish, with customers buying little material and expecting prices to continue to fall this week, in line with international coil prices. While HDG demand has been reported to be...
Tin: Chinese production increases in April
Chinese production of refined tin from major smelters rose 14.4% in April compared with the previous month, as most companies resumed the production process. Twenty smelters, accounting for 97% of China's total capacity, produced 15,464 tons of refined tin last month,...
The United Kingdom sanctions the Russian steel plant Evraz
The British government has imposed sanctions on Russian mining and steel company Evraz because of its operations in sectors of strategic importance to the government of Russia. In a May 5 British government statement, Evraz's main operations are in Russia and it...
Hot rolled coils: prices still down due to weak demand
Domestic prices for hot-rolled coils declined in Northern Europe due to limited purchasing activity. Northern European HRCs were assessed to be down €10 at €1265/mt ex-works Ruhr. Although there were few official offers at 1300-1330 euros/ton ex-works Ruhr, these were...
Steel: new supplies expected on the market
ArcelorMittal has announced that it will invest €300 million in the construction of a new steel unit at its Mardyck site in northern France. The plant , which will come on stream in 2024, will have an annual production capacity of up to 200,000 tons of high-strength...
Copper: the protest continues in the mine of Las Bambas
MMG is still facing prolonged disruption at its copper mine in Peru after failing to clear the site of all protesters in an operation that further inflamed tensions with indigenous groups. Security personnel from the Hong Kong-listed company worked with police this...
London Metal Exchange (LME) will be closed on 2 May 2022 for the Early May Bank Holiday
The London Metal Exchange (LME) will be closed on 2 May 2022 for the Early May Bank Holiday. Trading will resume as normal on 3 May. The Shanghai Stock Exchange will also be closed on 2-3-4 May 2022 (Labour Day). Trading will resume as normal on 5 May 2022.
Steel: China accelerates the pace of EAF capacity development
China has accelerated the pace of steel capacity development based on electric arc furnaces in 2022 to mark the growing efforts of the steel industry, which is steadily aligning with the country's high decarbonisation targets. The country has approved the construction...
Hot-rolled coils: European prices fall due to oversupply
Hot-rolled coil prices in Europe have fallen and market players are increasingly convinced that the market is set to decline significantly. While several mills have offered coils at €1,300/mt exw, some offers have been as low as €1,280/mt exw. Despite this, most...
Steel: EU suspends trade barriers on Ukraine
The European Commission proposed on Wednesday the suspension of all trade barriers against steel imports from Ukraine for a period of one year, to support the country during its ongoing war with Russia. The proposal needs to be ratified by the European Parliament, but...
Steel: expected declines in EU hot rolled coils
The expectations are for a downward trend in prices for hot rolled coil as demand has remained subdued due to the holiday period. Some market sources report a quiet market with subdued demand and most traders preferred to wait and see if prices would correct from...
Steel: global production down 6.8% year-on-year
Global crude steel production fell 5.8% year-on-year in March to 161 million tonnes, bringing total production for the first quarter of 2022 to 456.6 million tonnes, down 6.8% from the same period in 2021.However, global production in March was 13% higher than...
Palm oil: Indonesian and Malaysian exports soar
Higher demand for palm oil could lift Indonesian and Malaysian exports and bring down stocks, supporting prices, which have already risen 38% in 2022, as the war in Ukraine disrupted supplies of sunflower oil. Palm oil has become profitable for refiners because it is...
Aluminium: strong rise in Chinese exports
Chinese exports of "Unwrought aluminium and aluminium products" rose sharply in March 2022. Exports amounted to 594,361 tons, approaching the highs recorded in January this year. The increase on a monthly basis was +41.18% while on a yearly basis the growth was +34%....
Lithium: Mexico nationalises mining
Mexico has officially nationalised its lithium industry after the Senate approved with 87 votes in favour, 20 against and 16 abstentions the mining reform proposed by President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, which gives the state exclusive rights to the battery metal....
Steel: impact of China’s production reduction policy
On 19 April 2022, the National Development and Reform Commission said it will continue to reduce crude steel production across the country to ensure that crude steel production does not increase year on year. According to statistics from the National Bureau of...
Tata Steel closes business ties with Russia
Tata Steel has decided to stop doing business with Russia amid the military invasion of Ukraine, becoming the first global steel company to cut ties with Russia. Tata Steel has no operations or employees in Russia. The company has made a conscious decision to stop...
Rare earth: Thyssenkrupp signs MoU with Ucore Rare Metals
Global commodities and materials trader Thyssenkrupp Materials Trading has signed a memorandum of understanding to purchase rare earth carbonate from Ucore Rare Metals, a Canada-based developer of rare earth processing projects. Thyssenkrupp Materials Trading, a...
Titanium: Boeing, Airbus and Rolls-Royce looking for new suppliers
As the situation in Ukraine worsens, European and American countries have initiated several rounds of sanctions against Russia. Several manufacturers, including Boeing, Airbus and Rolls-Royce, are looking for new suppliers of key raw material titanium to hedge the...
US contractors reject Biden’s ‘Buy America’ guidelines
US construction contractors from the Associated General Contractors (AGC) of America are criticising President Joe Biden's guidelines requiring the use of domestic steel for federal infrastructure projects. According to the AGC, the tightening of the Buy America...
Steel: Mariupol plants suffer further damage
Metinvest's steel plants in Mariupol have suffered further damage as a result of fighting between Ukrainian and Russian military forces. On Friday, Russian Defense Ministry representative Igor Konashenkov said that Moscow forces and units of the self-proclaimed...
Steel: China’s steel demand slows in April
Steel demand in China is expected to continue to decline in April as deteriorating property sales weigh on domestic steel markets. The liquidity crisis facing property developers could extend into much of 2022, undermining Chinese steel demand for this year. China's...
Steel: demand to rise by only 0.4% in 2022 and 2.2% in 2023
The Short Range Outlook, published on 14 April by the World Steel Association, forecasts that steel demand will rise by 0.4% in 2022 to 1.84 billion tonnes and grow by a further 2.2% in 2023 to 1.88 billion tonnes. Steel demand rose 2.7% in 2021 to 1.83 billion as...
European Commission closes anti-dumping review on Severstal coils
The European Commission has terminated its review of existing anti-dumping measures on imports of hot rolled coils (Hrc) from Russia's Severstal. The review was initiated following a complaint lodged by Eurofer last year. Now, the association has withdrawn the...
Ferrous scrap: prices rise quickly across Europe
Ferrous scrap prices rose very quickly across Europe in April, as domestic mills raised prices to match the export market. The Russian invasion of Ukraine and the resulting shortage of supplies of key raw materials for steel from the Black Sea region caused prices of...
Steel: use of EU safeguard quotas confirms slowdown in imports
EU imports of steel products subject to safeguard measures slowed down in the first days of the second quarter. During the first eight days of April, when the new safeguard quotas became available for the quarter, EU customs cleared about 2.4 million tonnes of steel....
Alumina: price faces uncertain Q2 as Russia-Ukraine war continues
The global alumina market is set to be in a state of uncertainty in the second quarter of this year, as fallout from the war between Russia and Ukraine and a confluence of interconnected factors could alter supply and demand fundamentals. In the first quarter of 2022,...
Aluminium: world production falls by 7.24% in February
In February 2022, according to data from the International Aluminium Institute and processed by the Commodity Evolution research office, world production of primary aluminium fell by 7.24% compared to January 2022. On a year-on-year basis (between February 2022 and...
Steel: Shanghai freeze upsets market
Shanghai, China's most internationalised city and the largest steel trading hub in eastern China, has been under a strict lockdown since 28 March to combat the worst outbreak of COVID-19 ever seen in terms of the number of infections. The citywide blockade has nearly...
Steel: Europe-Asia spreads widen on war-driven supply concerns
The Russia-Ukraine war and the economic sanctions imposed on Russia by the European Union (EU) and G7 allies, including the US, have not only altered trade patterns and the supply/demand balance, but have also created a wide gap between steel prices in the Western...
Steel: Asian scrap prices expected to remain stable in Q2
Prices of hot-rolled coil, rebar and ferrous scrap in Asia are expected to remain stable in the second quarter, following a surge in the first quarter, as supply chains gradually recover and markets continue to assess the impact of Russia's invasion of Ukraine....
Steel: Ukraine’s Zaporizhstal restarts production
Ukrainian mining and steel company Metinvest reported today that it is partially resuming operations at its Zaporizhstal steel plant, the group's JV where it holds a 49.99% stake, and aims to reach 150,000 tonnes of production next month. The Zaporizhstal coil...
Coal: EU total ban on Russian product to take effect mid-August
The European Union on Thursday approved a ban on Russian coal that will take full effect from mid-August, a month later than initially proposed, following pressure from Germany to delay the measure. The phasing out of EU imports of Russian coal is the key measure in a...
Copper and nickel: elements for a greener future
Both nickel and copper possess properties that give them a central role in the drive towards a greener future. While demand will continue to grow steadily, electric vehicles (EVs) and energy storage applications will support a huge increase in long-term demand. While...
Ferrous scrap: the Italian market is still waiting
The Italian scrap market remains in the doldrums this week, with few or no sales and mills rejecting offers from dealers at higher prices. The trend in other European countries seems to be for a 40-50 €/tonne ($43-54/tonne) month-on-month increase, due to strong...
Steel: prices in China could rise to new highs in April
In April, prices of most Chinese steel products could reach new highs for this year. Central government policies to stimulate economic growth should start to take effect, domestic steel demand should recover from the COVID-19 disruptions, and demand for Chinese steel...
Copper: ready for a medium/long-term rally
Before the Russian invasion of Ukraine on 24 February, global equities were already facing their first critical event as inflation began to accelerate. This risk continues, as inflation recently reached 40-year highs in the wake of a global pandemic, government...
Steel: Turkish exports rise up 20%.
Turkey's steel exports have increased by 20% to a record 19.9 million tonnes in 2021, with higher prices meaning revenue will rise by 93% to $16.5 billion in 2021. Turkey's total finished steel consumption increased by 13% to 33.4 million tonnes in 2021. Steel...
Steel: German market expects significant drop in stocks and production
German steel producers, traders and buyers have been almost consistently bullish on prices in April, with the unanimous expectation that production and inventory levels may decline. The inventory sentiment index stood at 18.75, suggesting that market participants...
Steel: an unprecedented increase also for the Egyptian market
Three of Egypt's largest steel producers have announced that they have raised prices by up to 17%, or around LE 3,000 per tonne (EUR 150/mt), in what would appear to be the largest steel price increase in Egypt's history. Ezz Steel, Egyptian Steel and Suez Steel...
Australia – India: Agreement eliminates tariffs on mineral exports
The resources sector will be a major beneficiary after the Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement was officially signed, making exports to India cheaper and creating huge new opportunities for workers and businesses. Tariffs will be eliminated on...
Copper: $100bn investment needed to meet demand
The global copper industry needs to spend more than $100 billion to build mines capable of closing what could be an annual supply gap of 4.7 million tonnes by 2030. The supply gap for the next decade is estimated at six million tonnes a year as the clean energy and...
Iron ore: price extends rally on expectations of post-lockdown demand from China
Iron ore prices rose on Wednesday as markets expect robust supply demand in China when covid-19 restrictions are removed. Prices rose despite China's Dalian Commodity Exchange increasing trading limits and margin requirements for some of its futures products,...
Zinc: high prices with European smelters at risk of production
Zinc on the London Metal Exchange recorded a new all-time high of $4,861 per tonne earlier this month, eclipsing the previous 2006 peak of $4,580 per tonne. The March 8 peak was surpassed within hours and looked very much like the forced closure of positions to cover...
Copper: Antofagasta forecasts high prices for the next 12 months
According to Antofagasta CEO Ivan Arriagada, the copper market has solid fundamentals despite the current market volatility and will maintain high prices for at least the next 12 months. During the CRU-CESCO World Copper Conference in Santiago, Arriagada also reported...
Iron ore: green hydrogen generation essential for decarbonising production
China, the world's largest steel-producing country, has already announced its carbon-neutrality targets, even as it seeks to find an alternative to producing iron in blast furnaces based on metallurgical coal. Chinese policymakers believe that mass production of...
Steel: European prices extend rally as Ukraine conflict reduces supply
European steel prices are set to extend their gains as the Russian invasion of Ukraine has disrupted logistics, spurred sanctions and driven up energy prices. Russia is the world's fifth-largest steel producer, while Ukraine ranks 14th. The two together account for a...
Iron ore: Guinea reaches agreement to resume development of Simandou
Guinea has reached an agreement with Rio Tinto and a Chinese-backed consortium to resume operations at the huge Simandou iron ore deposit, after resolving disputes over infrastructure. According to the Guinean government, Simandou contains more than 4 billion tonnes...
Nickel and lithium: soaring prices increase production costs in the EV sector
A global push among automakers to expand their electric vehicle (EV) lineup just got a lot more expensive, thanks to rising prices for nickel and lithium, key raw materials in EV batteries. Nickel is caught up in war-induced supply concerns and the short-term squeeze...
Iron ore: price remains stable despite blockade of Chinese steel hub
The price of iron ore remained steady on Wednesday despite the Tangshan steel city's decision to implement a temporary blockade. The Tangshan government implemented the blockade on Tuesday to avoid further cases of covid-19 as infections increased. Although...
Copper: how the Russian threat affects international trade
Copper prices have remained quite amid the chaos that has engulfed the London Metal Exchange (LME) this month. The London copper market was briefly shaken by the collapse in margins that triggered the 8 March suspension of the LME nickel market, with a short-lived...
Steel: Russian steel producers agree to move away from LME peg
The Russian Ministry of Industry and Trade and steel producers have agreed to move away from pegging domestic prices to the London Metal Exchange (LME) and calculate them in roubles. The use of the rouble component in the calculation of domestic prices will also be...
Heart of metals’ confidence falters for London Metal Exchange
The first squeeze that plunged the London Metal Exchange into an existential crisis occurred more than a century ago. In 1887, French industrialist Pierre Secretan cornered the copper market, causing prices to double first before taking profits, causing the market to...
Steel: Tangshan strengthens control measures against the spread of coronavirus
China's largest steel centre, Tangshan, has ordered emergency traffic controls and mass testing of the coronavirus with a rapid increase in the daily count. According to a report, on 19 March 22, the office of the government wing responsible for preventing and...
Zinc: supply problems push price to 15-year highs
Zinc prices surpassed $4,000 per tonne, reaching a 15-year high last week ($4,861/mt on 8 March 2022), as rising energy costs and supply concerns boosted the metal's market. Zinc production requires the smelting of zinc ore, which is energy intensive. As a result,...
Nickel: price chaos continues on Lme
The London Metal Exchange temporarily froze electronic trading in nickel after restarting from a week-long suspension, as a glitch allowed prices to fall beyond a new daily limit (5%) that was supposed to help restore order after last week's historic short squeeze....
Chilean regulator fines BHP’s Escondida mine for damage in Salar de Atacama
Chile's environmental regulator reported Thursday that it has fined the Escondida mine, a subsidiary of BHP, $8.2 million for damage caused by water extraction in the Salar de Atacama salt flat. Chile's environmental watchdog SMA had filed a complaint against the...
Carmakers face soaring metal costs
Russia's invasion of Ukraine is raising the price of metals used in cars, from aluminum in bodywork to palladium in catalytic converters to high-grade nickel in electric vehicle batteries, and drivers are likely to foot the bill. While metals have not yet been the...
Titanium: Boeing suspends purchase from Russia
Boeing Co reported Monday that it has suspended its purchase of titanium from Russia, a move that could have implications for the aircraft manufacturer's relationship with its largest supplier of the raw material, VSMPO-Avisma. According to the manufacturer, "our...
Copper: what are the factors for a continuation of the current rise in prices
Copper prices rose sharply after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, as disruption of trade routes and economic sanctions limited supplies. Immediately after the invasion, the price fell to $9,918/ton, but then, with the announcement of sanctions, the price rose to...
Ferrous scrap: Turkish imported scrap prices rise to all-time highs
Considering the ongoing trade tensions between Russia and Ukraine, prices of imported scrap in Turkey have risen to record highs. Moreover, supply has become difficult for exporters through the Black Sea. The sharp rise in raw material prices has led to a strong...
Iron ore: China expects a sharp increase in production by 2025
China plans to increase its iron ore production in overseas mines to 220 million tons by 2025, in addition to increasing domestic raw material supplies. According to Luo Tiejun, vice president of the China Iron and Steel Association, China aims to "fundamentally"...
Honduras cancels environmental permits for mines
In a brief statement, the government reported that environmental permits for metal mining in Honduras will be cancelled, describing the industry as harmful and stating that it will specifically prohibit open-pit mining. The statement from the Ministry of Energy,...
Aluminum: Russia-Ukraine conflict drives aluminum price to a new high
The rally in the global benchmark aluminum price reached a record high last week. On Thursday, Feb. 24, the LME aluminum price reached 13-year highs at $3,519 per ton as the Russia-Ukraine conflict fueled concerns about global supply of the metal. However, on Friday,...
Aluminium: world production down in January
After December 2021's highs at 5.622 mln tons, January 2022 triggered a decline in global aluminum production to 5.513 mln tons. The cumulative January to December 2021 stood at 67.28 mln tons compared to 65.327 mln tons in the same period last year (+2.98%). WORLD...
Copper: possible new roadblock for Las Bambas mine
The Coporaque district community reported Sunday that it will resume its roadblock against MMG's Las Bambas mine, although a second community has agreed to a 45-day truce. Las Bambas, which produces 2% of the world's copper supply, said it will have to suspend...
Lead: proposal to include it in REACH list would stifle innovation and investment
Companies confirm that ECHA's plan to include metallic lead in its 11th recommendation for substances to be included on the REACH authorization list threatens a wide range of EU industries, from battery manufacturers to European metal recyclers, creating more red tape...
Aluminum: new Covid cases exacerbate supply disruptions in China
On Tuesday, Feb. 7, Baise, China's main aluminum-producing city, reported a surge in local covid-19 cases for the third consecutive day and the resulting lockout, which exacerbated concerns about supply disruptions for the metal. Restrictions due to increased covid...
Aluminum: prices reach target expected 2 weeks ago
As expected a couple of weeks ago, aluminum reached highs at $3228/mt (highs today at $3234.50/mt). Click here for the full story.
Copper: MMG set to halt operations at Las Bambas mine
MMG reported Monday that it will have to halt production at its Las Bambas copper mine in Peru until February 20, following a new and ongoing blockade of the road used by the company, which has already forced the Chinese miner to curtail operations. Residents of...
Pig iron: Russian exports rise by 8% in the first 11 months of 2021
Russian pig iron exports rose 8% year-on-year in the first 11 months of 2021 (Jan-Nov 21). Cumulative exports stood at 3.56 million tons (mnt) in the period under review compared to 3.3 mnt seen in the corresponding period last year. The United States maintained its...
Ferrous scrap: Turkish imports increase by 10% in 2021
Turkey, the world's top buyer of ferrous scrap, recorded imports of this material of 24.37 million tons (mnt) in 2021 (Jan-Dec 2021), up 10% from 22.16 mnt in 2020. On a monthly basis, Turkish ferrous scrap imports increased by 22% to 2.49 mnt in Dec 2021 compared to...
Rare earth: Kalgoorlie gets ministerial approval
Preliminary implementation of Lynas Rare Earths' Kalgoorlie processing plant has been approved after a ministerial declaration was issued under the Environment Protection Act 1986 (WA). The declaration outlines conditions for the construction and operation of the rare...
Aluminium: Chinese imports collapse while exports recover
In the last survey month (December 2021), China's imports of "Unwrought aluminium and aluminium products" plummeted by 38.75% compared to the previous month (November 2021) while compared to the same period last year, the figure showed a drop of 8.22%. In the previous...
Aluminium: world production hits the highest level since 2011
After several months in which world aluminum production remained substantially stable, in the last month of survey (December 2021) there was a new increase on a quantity produced basis (ton). An analysis of the data on a monthly basis shows a positive change in all...
Copper: price drops ahead of Fed meeting
Copper prices fell on Monday under pressure from risk-off sentiment in global markets. Asian equities also fell as investors prepared for a Federal Reserve meeting at which it is expected to confirm the start of a massive liquidity drain that has supercharged growth...
Aluminum and steel: U.S. and Uk begin dialogue to resolve tariff disputes
The U.S. and Britain began dialogue on Wednesday, Jan. 19, in order to resolve the dispute over tariffs that have been imposed by the Trump administration on imported aluminum and steel. Senior trade officials in Washington and London reported that they are committed...
Potash: US sanctions may push Belarus into Putin’s arms
U.S. sanctions against the Belarusian potash industry, which have helped push fertilizer prices to record levels, could push President Alexander Lukashenko further into the arms of Russia. While Lukashenko has not yet asked Russia for support, the Kremlin expects the...
Aluminum: there are no more barriers for a +4.50% ascent
Looking at aluminum prices, there seems to be no more obstacles for a rise of +4.50%, between current prices and the highs recorded on 18/10/2021 at $ 3,228.50/mt. A price extension of at least +4.50% from current prices of $3091/mt to the $3,228.50/mt area is then...
China’s economy will face more uncertainty in Q1 2022
According to the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), in the first quarter of 2022, China's economy will face more uncertainties, and as countermeasures, the Chinese government will advance the implementation of some policies, the progress of some...
Non-ferrous metals: session in strong recovery
Today's session shows an excellent performance for non-ferrous metals, with nickel showing a daily growth of +3.69%, followed by tin +1.84%, copper +1.61%, lead +1.34%, zinc +1.08% and aluminum at +0.80%. Stay updated with Commodity Evolution to follow in detail and...
Rare earth: U.S. bill would prevent their use by defense contractors
A bipartisan piece of legislation introduced in the U.S. Senate Friday would force defense contractors to stop buying rare earths from China by 2026 and use the Pentagon to create a permanent stockpile of the strategic minerals. The bill is the latest in a series...
Aluminium: Aluminium Dunkerque will halt production in anticipation of government support on energy prices
On January 14, 2022, a spokesperson for Europe's largest aluminum smelter, Aluminium Dunkerque in France, said the company has no plans to further regulate production as a result of current restrictions, as it anticipates government subsidies on energy prices. The...
Nickel: China will be most affected by Indonesia’s move to retain more metal at home
The Southeast Asian country reported Wednesday that it is studying a progressive tax on nickel and ferronickel exports that could be imposed as early as this year. Concerns about fewer shipments from the world's largest nickel supplier have sent the London Metal...
Zinc: Fitch forecasts a price retracement
Prices averaged $2995/ton in 2021 and closed the year around $3428/ton, a slight retracement from the high of $3944/ton reached in October 2021. Fitch's price forecast for 2022 implies that the company expects prices to stabilize and weaken from here on in the coming...
Lithium: risks of supply compression are pushing the price higher and higher
Lithium exploded in 2022 with a new price spike that warns electric vehicle manufacturers of even more acute cost pressures. Supplies of the core battery material face a number of near-term risks that threaten deeper shortages just as demand accelerates as global EV...
Aluminum: energy fuels price spike to record levels in Europe
Aluminum costs for European consumers are reaching record levels as soaring energy costs and production cuts have exacerbated deficits in the metal used in the energy, construction and packaging industries (as described in this article on January 4, 2022. Consumers...
Nickel: Tesla signs $1.5 billion deal for Talon Metals’ Minnesota project
Tesla reported that it has signed its first nickel supply agreement in the U.S., Talon Metals Corp's Tamarack mining project in Minnesota. Under the terms of the agreement, which Talon reported came after "extensive and detailed" due diligence and "lengthy...
BHP invests $50 million to advance nickel project in Tanzania
BHP will invest $40 million in Kabanga Nickel, which is developing the nickel project, and $10 million in Lifezone Ltd, whose ore refining technology is considered more cost-effective and environmentally friendly. The investment in U.K.-based Kabanga will give it an...
Cobalt: Industry will get a big boost from transition to green economy
The global cobalt supply chain is likely to remain highly geographically concentrated in the coming years, in the Democratic Republic of Congo for mining production and in China for refining, which will likely pose supply challenges for battery manufacturers. Yet the...
Copper: BHP’s Cerro Colorado mine affected by additional water measures
BHP reported Wednesday that it will modify operations at its Cerro Colorado copper mine in northern Chile to reduce the impact of a new ruling that prevents the company from drawing water from a nearby aquifer for 90 days. The world's largest miner reported that...
Aluminum: production cuts boost further rises
The various production cuts made before by the largest European smelter Aluminium Dunkerque Industries France (read the article here), by Hydro in its plant in Slovakia (read the article here), by Alro (read the article here) by Alcoa that will stop a Spanish plant...
Aluminum: the Romanian Alro cuts production
Romanian aluminum producer Alro reported that it will cut primary aluminum production due to rising energy prices .Primary aluminum production activity will be reduced from five electrolysis rooms to two rooms. The company will resume its full production operations...
Copper: Zijin starts production in the giant mine in Tibet
Zijin Mining reported the start of production at its Qulong copper mine in Tibet, one of the largest in China, a major metal consumer, adding a new source of supply to the market for the coming year. Zijin, a copper and gold producer that is acquiring...
Copper: One misstep could reignite the blockade against the Las Bambas copper mine in Peru
Any miscalculation by the Peruvian government in the proposal to be discussed with mining communities on December 30 could reignite protest actions against MMG Ltd's Las Bambas mine. In recent statements to local media, the president of the Committee of Struggle for...
Commodities: China returns to importing on all fronts
In November 2021, China's import data show a marked uptick across all major industries. In detail: Steel or iron products - Exports of "steel and iron products" in November stood at 4.36 mln tons, down 3.11% on a monthly basis and down 0.91% on an annual basis. On the...
Iron ore: price rises on Chinese promises to stabilize the economy
The iron ore price rose on Monday due to a promise by the Chinese government to focus on economic stability next year, supporting the demand outlook. China pledged to continue its prudent monetary policy and proactive fiscal policy, and to prioritize economic...
Nickel-lithium-cobalt: Chinese Tsingshan large-scale producer
Tsingshan Holding Group, the Chinese company that shook up the nickel world by rapidly increasing production in Indonesia, is predominantly a stainless steel producer, coming out of nowhere to become the world's top nickel producer in 2018 thanks to its pioneering use...
Copper and gold miner Oyu Tolgoi: Jakob Stausholm meets Luvsannamsrain Oyun-Erdene
Rio Tinto CEO Jakob Stausholm met with Mongolia's Prime Minister Luvsannamsrain Oyun-Erdene this week, with the aim of resolving the issues that still threaten the future of the vast Oyu Tolgoi copper and gold mine. The ongoing expansion of the project in the Gobi...
Copper: update – break up of the trigger line at 9750 $/ton
As written in the previous article (read here) copper prices have completed the double minimum and at the moment are in the process of breaking the trigger line at $9,750/ton. The current movement may extend the rebound in the short term towards the next targets...
Ferrous scrap: Chinese imports drop 55% in October for the third month
China's recycled steel raw materials, or ferrous scrap import volumes, in October 2021 fell for the third month in a row. The world's top steel producer imported 9,152 metric tons of ferrous scrap in October compared to 20,519 metric tons in the previous month, down...
Nickel and zinc: U.S. adds them to critical minerals list
Nickel and zinc are now considered critical minerals by the United States. The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) is proposing that both metals be included on the critical minerals list. The list has grown from 35 to 50 since the last iteration in 2018. Four minerals,...
Nickel: a new generation technology for extraction
UK-based Altilium Group and PT Indo Mineral Research, a member of Sebuku Group (one of Indonesia's largest mining groups) have signed an agreement to commit financial, technical and logistical resources to accelerate the adoption of the DNi process in Indonesia....
Tin: best annual performance of non-ferrous metals
Tin remains the superstar on the London Metal Exchange of industrial metals. At $37,350 per tonne, the LME's three-month tin is up 77% since the start of the year, far outperforming aluminium, which is the second best performer with a gain of "only" 26%. LME stocks...
Iron ore: Australian exports down
Australia has seen a decline in exports of goods and services for September due to low iron ore prices, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Australia has seen a decline in exports of goods and services for September due to low iron ore prices, according...
Rare earth: China’s exports hit seven-month highs
China's exports of rare earths rose 10% in October from the previous month, reaching the highest level since March, according to data from the General Administration of Customs. Exports from the group of 17 minerals from the world's largest rare earth producer stood...
Palm oil: Malaysia’s stocks rise as exports plummet
Malaysia's palm oil stocks rebounded at the end of October due to a slump in exports amid falling production. Palm oil stocks of the world's second largest producer are set to rise 3.4 percent to 1.81 million tonnes. Production is seen falling 0.98% to 1.69 million...
Aluminium: prices down 20% in a two-week
The aluminium price has been weakened by falling coal prices in China, following efforts by regulators to curb excessive speculation and profiteering from what remains a tight domestic thermal coal market. If coal prices continue to fall, aluminium prices should, at...
Aluminium and steel: agreement between US and EU on tariff removal
The United States and the European Union have ended their dispute over steel and aluminium tariffs, promising to work together on a global agreement to combat production and industry overcapacity. The future EU-US deal will be a challenge for China, which produces...
Iron ore: Vale SA profits below estimates
Brazilian miner Vale SA on Thursday reported third-quarter net profit of $3.9 billion, significantly below analysts' forecasts of $6.2 billion, due to lower iron ore prices and a write-down of its coal business. While Vale's net profit fell by almost half from the...
Titanium and zirconium: Ukraine cancels United Mining and Chemical Company’s sales auction
Ukraine has cancelled the privatisation auction for the sale of Europe's largest titanium and zirconium miner, United Mining and Chemical Company (UMCC), due to a lack of participants. The same auction in August had also been cancelled for this reason. The state real...
Coal: China sets price in bid to ease energy crisis
China's state planner has set an immediate price target for thermal coal in its most direct intervention yet to cool the market for the key power generation fuel amid a severe energy crisis. The price target was revealed during meetings on Tuesday and Wednesday...
Copper: Antofagasta appeals US plan to block Twin Metals mine
Antofagasta Plc reported Wednesday that it would ask US officials to reconsider a proposed 20-year ban on mining in Minnesota's Boundary Waters region, a plan announced last week that would block its Twin Metals copper and nickel project. According to Julie Padilla,...
Aluminium: sector needs $1.5 trillion just to decarbonise energy
Some $1.5 trillion of investment is needed to decarbonise the electricity supplies used to produce aluminium so that the industry can begin to meet the UN climate targets. But this huge investment is only part of the funds needed for aluminium production, one of the...
Aluminium: world production September 2021
Power outages in China ---------> production supply in crisis Let's take a look at primary aluminium production worldwide (last survey September 2021). Data from the International Aluminium Institute. Month-on-month % change: Africa: -3.65% China: -3.52%. Western...
Rare earth: plans approved for Yangibana plant in Hastings
Hastings Technology Metals has received environmental approval from the Department of Agriculture, Water and Environment (DAWE) for a hydrometallurgical plant in the Gascoyne region of Western Australia. The Onslow rare earth plant will be constructed in the Ashburton...
Magnesium: EU in talks with China to avert catastrophic crisis
European leaders, concerned about the effect a global magnesium shortage will have on the European Union's industrial recovery from the pandemic, have opened talks with China, which supplies the bloc with about 95% of the silver-white metal used to make aluminium....
Copper: Zijin opens Serbia’s largest mine
Zijin Mining, China's largest gold miner and one of the country's leading copper producers, has started operations at its Cukaru Peki copper and gold mine in Serbia. The resource, part of the Timok project, is expected to make the Balkan country the second largest...
Natural gas: Nord Stream 2 will start selling gas to Europe immediately after its approval
Russian President Vladimir Putin has reportedly said that Russia will be able to start natural gas supplies to Europe via the Nord Stream 2 pipeline as soon as it gets the green light from Germany. The pipeline, funded by Kremlin-owned energy giant Gazprom and its...
Copper – Nickel – Tin: Indonesia expects exports to slow down
According to President Joko Widodo, Indonesia is planning to 'curb' the export of all raw materials in a bid to attract investment in processing onshore resources and create jobs. Indonesia has banned a number of exports of unprocessed minerals, including nickel, tin...
Iron ore: Vale reduces metal supply
Vale SA produced more than analysts expected and outperformed both the previous quarter and the year-ago period, as part of an ongoing recovery from the 2019 tailings dam disaster and thanks to better weather. But with iron ore futures down more than 40% from their...
Copper: potential blockage of key mining road leading to Las Bambas mine
A Peruvian community will block a key mining road used by MMG's Las Bambas copper mine in protest after failed negotiations with the Andean nation's government, a community leader told Reuters on Monday. Victor Limaypuma, the president of the Cotabambas Defence Front,...
Copper – Aluminium – Zinc: Rising prices as the energy crisis unfolds
The world's major metals continued to climb on Friday, with zinc posting its biggest daily gain in six years after hitting a 14-year high on Wednesday and aluminium holding close to a 13-year high, as energy shortages continue to disrupt the global supply chain....
Copper: Chinese investment projects abroad
China consumes nearly 14 million tonnes of copper each year, more than the rest of the world combined. But domestic supply last year was only about 2 million tonnes, including scrap, and mined production has been stagnant for years. Imported concentrate, from some 30...
Copper: Sumitomo to sell Chilean mine shares to South32
Japan's Sumitomo Metal Mining and Sumitomo Corp have agreed to sell their stakes in Chile's Sierra Gorda copper mine to Australian miner South32 Ltd for about $1.5 billion. The Japanese companies, which together hold a 45% stake, had reported last year that they were...
Coal: prices rebound as never before under the Trump age
Donald Trump promised to revive the coal industry, but it is President Joe Biden who is seeing a big comeback for the fossil fuel. US power plants are on track to burn 23% more coal this year, the first increase since 2013, despite Biden's ambitious plan to remove...
Aluminium: 13-year highs reached
Aluminium has risen to its highest level since 2008 as a deepening energy crisis squeezes supplies of the energy-intensive metal that is used in everything from beer cans to iPhones. Each tonne of metal requires around 14 megawatt hours of energy to produce, enough to...
Batteries: US narrows gap with China
According to Global Lithium-Ion Battery Supply Chain Ranking, the US is closing the gap with China when it comes to the race to dominate the battery value chain. The US has the second largest EV market globally, after China. Tesla and Asian cell manufacturers continue...
Electricity: price rises by 288% from Q2 2020
In arrivo una nuova stangata sulle bollette di luce e gas. A lanciare l'allarme è stato proprio il ministro della Transizione Ecologica, Roberto Cingolani. A new sting on electricity and gas bills is coming. The Minister for Ecological Transition, Roberto Cingolani,...
ICMM: zero carbon emissions by 2050
According to the International Council on Mining and Metals (ICMM), the world's largest mining companies pledged on Tuesday to achieve a target of zero net direct and indirect carbon emissions by 2050 or sooner. The announcement comes ahead of next month's UN climate...
Copper: fire halts production at Salobo mine
Vale reported that production of copper concentrate at its Salobo mine in the state of Para, Brazil, is suspended due to a fire that struck a conveyor belt, causing no injuries or fatalities but only material damage. The company expects to resume production at the...
Copper: BHP in talks for DRC project
The Melbourne-based miner is in talks with Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. to buy Western Foreland, a huge exploration territory that borders Ivanhoe's Kamoa-Kakula mine. The foray into a nation emerging from decades of conflict would mark a shift in strategy for BHP, which has...
Gas and energy: rising prices in Europe will force factories to shut down
Increasingly expensive gas and electricity prices in Europe are sending a strong signal to manufacturers to consider shutting down plants temporarily and to home and office owners to turn down their thermostats to save fuel this winter. First-month gas futures are now...
Nickel: BHP opens first Australian plant
BHP announced on Friday that it has produced the first nickel sulphate crystals from its plant in Kwinana, outside Perth, part of a strategy to grow its battery metals footprint to meet expected rising demand. Nickel is a key component for electric vehicle (EV)...
Copper: Ivan Merino blames MMG for Las Bambas riots
Peru's mining minister Ivan Merino reported Thursday that the unrest at the huge Las Bambas copper mine was partly caused by MMG Ltd's decision to rely on a dirt road to transport the metal, and called for a rail line to be built instead. The dirt road has become a...
Steel: China decides the collapse of world production
According to Worldsteel Association data, world steel production in 64 countries stood at 156.8 mt in August, down 1.4% from the same period last year. On a monthly basis there was a decline of around 3%. In summary: Africa 1.3 Mt (+38.2%) Asia and Oceania 112.7 Mt...
Copper: Peru’s US$1.4 billion Tia Maria mine casts doubts
Peru's economy and finance minister has raised further doubts about Southern Copper's long-delayed $1.4 billion Tía Maria project in the southern province of Islay, Arequipa region, saying the proposed mine is 'socially and politically' unfeasible. Tía María has...
Nickel: possible negotiations for the sale of Atlantic Nickel
London-based private equity fund Appian Capital is reportedly in advanced talks to sell its Atlantic Nickel unit in Brazil for about $1 billion, with Canadian Teck Resources (the company did not comment). The Canadian company's main interest is Atlantic Nickel's Santa...
Copper: shutdown for Peru’s Las Bambas mine
Chinese miner MMG will once again have to halt operations at its Las Bambas copper mine, one of Peru's largest, as community protests in the neighbouring province of Chumbivilcas have affected supply logistics. The blockade of public roads along Peru's main copper...
Tin: record prices on low stocks
Tin prices jumped to a record high on Friday as inventories in warehouses fell and supply problems persisted. Benchmark tin on the London Metal Exchange rose to a record $36,770 a tonne, and by early afternoon was trading 2.4 percent higher at $36,310. Metal prices...
Rare earth: Minmetals plans strategic restructuring
Minmetals is planning a strategic restructuring of rare earths with another state-owned company, Chinalco, and the Ganzhou city government. China Minmetals Rare Earth Co Ltd and Chinalco Rare Earth & Metals Co are two of the "Big Six" state-owned enterprises...
Zinc: Teck Resources cuts production forecasts
Teck Resources, Canada's largest diversified miner, has cut its refined zinc production estimates for 2021 due to widespread wildfires in British Columbia over the summer. Operations at the Vancouver, BC-based miner were temporarily shut down in August for about ten...
Rare Earth: Chinese imports from Myanmar drop after border closure
Chinese imports of rare earth from neighbouring Myanmar slowed in August as the closure of a key border crossing to contain the spread of the coronavirus prevented shipments. China is the world's dominant producer of rare earths, a group of 17 minerals used in...
Paper Excellence secures supply of vital fibre for restart of its Prince Albert pulp mill
Paper Excellence has announced that its Prince Albert mill has secured a softwood fibre allocation of 1,033,564 cubic metres per year from the provincial government. "This fibre is critical to the restart of the Prince Albert paper mill, currently scheduled for the...
Nickel: global production to increase by 6.8% in 2021
Global nickel mine production is expected to grow by 6.8% to reach 2,427.4kt in 2021, after declining an estimated 4.2% to 2,272kt last year due to blockages and covid-related restrictions. Indonesia (+16.3%), the Philippines (+5.1%) and Brazil (+24%) will contribute...
Iron ore: Price falls below $100 a tonne
The price of iron ore sank below $100 a tonne on Friday for the first time since July 2020, as China's moves to clean up its heavily polluting industrial sector caused a rapid and sharp collapse. The Ministry of Ecology and Environment planned to involve 64 key...
XTC New Energy plans $1.6 billion investment in battery equipment
XTC New Energy Materials, a unit of Chinese rare earth and metals producer Xiamen Tungsten, on Thursday reported a $1.55 billion investment plan in a lithium battery materials project in Sichuan province. Demand for batteries is booming in the global automotive market...
Iron ore: 7% drop in China’s steel production data
The price of iron ore fell on Thursday after China reported a drop in the country's steel production in August. Mining stocks also fell, with BHP Group down more than 6% on the previous week, Rio Tinto Group down 5.3% and Vale down 7%. China produced 83.24 million...
Copper: Codelco reaches a labour agreement with the union
Codelco, the world's largest copper producer, said on Wednesday it had reached an agreement on a labour contract with a union representing workers in its small Salvador division in northern Chile. The miner and union Benito Tapia Tapia signed a 36-month agreement that...
China to release more metal reserves to ease supply shortage
China will closely monitor market conditions and continue to release copper, aluminium and zinc from its state reserves in a bid to overcome supply-demand imbalances. "Currently, copper, aluminium and zinc prices are still high," said Li Hui, an official with the...
Lithium: Albemarle reaches agreement, ending strike action
Albemarle Corp, the world's top lithium producer, said on Wednesday it had reached a labour contract agreement with a union at its Atacama plant, ending a month-long strike that had inflamed tensions between workers and the company. The 135-member 'Albemarle Salar'...
Steel: increasing EAF capacity utilisation in China
As of 9 September, the capacity utilisation rate of many of China's independent electric arc furnace (EAF) steel mills recovered after a two-week decline, rising 2.74 percentage points to 63.14%, as some EAF mills in eastern and southwestern China returned to...
Copper: Jiangxi Copper and MCC focus on Mes Aynak mine in Afghanistan
Jiangxi Copper Co. and Metallurgical Corp of China (MCC) are monitoring the situation in Afghanistan to develop the Mes Aynak copper mine. The company and MCC took out a 30-year lease for the mine in 2008, which has an estimated reserve of 11.08 million tonnes of...
Lithium: Albemarle Atacama union rejects new offer, strike continues
The Chilean union of Albemarle Corp, the world's leading lithium producer, reported on Monday that it has rejected the company's latest labour contract offer, leaving workers to continue their strike that has extended for more than a month. The 135-member 'Albemarle...
Copper: Codelco’s wage agreements ease supply tensions
Workers at a Codelco mine in Chile have agreed to end a strike while union members at a BHP group mine have agreed to a new wage proposal, easing labour tensions in the copper-producing nation. Codelco reached an agreement to end a strike lasting more than three weeks...
Iron ore: price drops to 11-month low
The price of iron ore fell to an eleven-month low on Thursday amid concerns that the global economic recovery is slowing. The price of iron ore fell 40 per cent from over $220 in July, mainly due to lower imports by China following its move to control steel production...
Nickel: Vale Indonesia aims to complete HPAL plant
Indonesian nickel miner PT Vale Indonesia said it aims to start construction of its Pomalaa project next year to produce material used in batteries for electric vehicles. Adriansyah Chaniago, deputy managing director, added that Vale is currently amending its...
Aluminium: Guinea’s coup adds bauxite to supply concerns
The trigger for the latest rise was news of a military coup over the weekend in Guinea, a major producer of bauxite, which is processed into alumina and then into primary aluminium. The aluminium market does not normally pay much attention to disruptions at the end of...
Coup in Guinea: third largest producer of bauxite
The military junta that seized power in Guinea reportedly plans to establish a unity government pending a transition to civilian rule, urged mining companies to continue operating and reassured them that their existing agreements with the state will be honoured....
Aluminium: new capacity to tame prices
A prolonged period of high aluminium prices, created in part by production cuts in China, is expected to encourage new capacity elsewhere in the world, which will eventually weigh on prices at 10-year highs. Benchmark aluminium on the London Metal Exchange reached...
Steel: Chinese prices could rise in September
Chinese domestic construction steel prices could stabilise and rebound this month, with both demand and supply growth. Demand growth could outpace supply growth, and construction steel inventories could decline further. As for construction steel demand, the operating...
Copper: Chile needs USD 150 billion to increase production
According to energy and mines minister Juan Carlos Jobet, Chile, a mining powerhouse, needs $150 billion in investment to reach its goal of doubling copper production by 2050, part of a larger plan by the world's leading copper producer to increase production while...
Iron ore: price falls on negative outlook for China
Iron ore prices moved lower as the market weighed an upcoming seasonal pick-up in Chinese demand against the prospect of a broadly weakening economy and further restrictions on steel production. The price had regained ground after the July slump, with the upcoming...
Nickel: new record in Shanghai on strong demand and low stocks
Nickel prices in Shanghai hit a new record on Tuesday, supported by solid demand from industrial sectors and low inventories worldwide. October's most-traded nickel contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange hit a record 149,870 yuan ($23,197) a tonne, up 21%...
Rio Tinto cuts rates on loans to Mongolia for Oyu Tolgoi expansion
Rio Tinto says it is ready to cut interest rates on loans to the Mongolian government given to finance its share of the construction costs of an underground expansion at the vast Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold mine in the Gobi Desert. In return, the company wants several...
Cobalt: producers racing to fill growing supply gap
The exponential growth in demand for cobalt is putting pressure on manufacturers to increase supplies to fill the growing supply gap, as electric vehicle (EV) penetration rates in car production increase by more than 50% by 2030. According to some studies, there are...
Copper: potential strike at Bhp’s Cerro Colorado mine
The workers' union at BHP's Cerro Colorado copper mine in Chile has called on its members to reject a final contract offer from the company, paving the way for a strike at the small deposit. The union tensions come shortly after a court ordered the mine to stop...
Aluminium: close to 3-year highs
Aluminium traded near its highest level in three years as supply disruptions tightened the market. The metal has risen 32% this year, second only to tin among the six base metals traded on the London Metal Exchange, driven by the global economic recovery. The price is...
Copper: Codelco expands Salvador mine
Chilean state-owned miner Codelco, the world's No. 1 copper producer, has invested $1.4 billion in the Salvador copper mine, extending the productive life by 47 years and increasing production by almost 50%. The Rajo Inca project will convert Salvador, which has been...
Rare Earth: EU considers aid for the production of magnets
The EU is working on proposals to revive domestic production of a type of magnet specialised in electric car engines, offering support to local producers so they can compete with Chinese rivals. The moves to support production of rare-earth permanent magnets would...
Lithium: Atomredmedzoloto plans mining on the Kola Peninsula
The Atomredmedzoloto mining subsidiary of Russia's state nuclear energy company Rosatom plans to start producing lithium compounds in both the Kola Peninsula and the Irkutsk region of Siberia. Investment in lithium mining projects in Russia is estimated at over 50...
Copper: Zijin Mining cuts emissions at Bor smelter in Serbia
The town of Bor in Serbia has a decades-old air pollution problem due to its proximity to one of Europe's largest copper mines. Excessive amounts of sulphur dioxide, a by-product produced by the copper smelting plant, have threatened the health of its inhabitants and...
Copper prices: bearish trend continues
Copper prices are on a downtrend after reports showed worsening manufacturing growth in the US and China. Chinese factory activity expanded in July at the slowest pace in 17 months, with the official purchasing managers' index (PMI) falling to 50.4 from 50.9 in June,...
Zinc: Glencore reaches agreement
Reuters reported that Glencore Plc has agreed to pay $9.85 million to settle a private antitrust lawsuit in the US accusing two units of the Anglo-Swiss mining company of trying to monopolise the zinc market, driving up its price. The preliminary settlement revealed...
Aluminium: Kitimat reduces production following a strike
Rio Tinto has begun reducing production at its BC Works aluminium smelter in Kitimat, Canada, due to a strike initiated by the Unifor Local 2301 union after negotiations failed to reach a new collective bargaining agreement. Production will be reduced to about 35 per...
Copper and lithium: vote on Chilean mining royalties postponed
Chile's Senate has postponed for almost three weeks a vote on an opposition-sponsored bill that could increase taxes on miners by up to 75% depending on the price of copper, the country's main export. The bill, first introduced in 2018, calls for a 3% royalty on sales...
Iron ore: chinese demand unlikely to increase in August
In August, it will be difficult to see much growth in Chinese iron ore demand when most steel mills are under pressure to control steel production. This month, any increase in domestic steel production from newly added capacity will also be quite limited. Meanwhile,...
Copper: Codelco increases production by 14.9% in June
Chile's state copper commission Cochilco said Codelco, the world's largest copper miner, increased its output by 14.9% year-on-year to 151,600 tonnes in June. BHP's Escondida, the world's largest copper mine, saw output fall 21.6% year-on-year to 82,900 tonnes in the...
Nickel: BHP wants to expand operations to meet increased demand
BHP will make a final investment decision on a major expansion of the processing facility at its Mt. Keith nickel mine in Western Australia, further investing in the industry to meet expected rising demand. Nickel is a key component for electric vehicle cathodes, and...
Copper: global supply at risk
A tightening global copper market is facing the real possibility of simultaneous disruptions at three mines in Chile, the top producer. By far the most serious threat to global supplies comes from Escondida, the world's largest copper mine, where workers rejected...
Acetic acid: production is currently stopped for maintenance
The acetic acid market is consolidating upwards. The price rose to €779.7/mt (2/8/2021), an increase of 2.30% compared to the close recorded on July 29 (€762.16/mt). The acetic acid market rose slightly, the Guangxi and Anhui Huayi plants were closed for maintenance...
Lithium: Rio Tinto prepares to ship pilot plant to Serbia
Rio Tinto Ltd is set to ship a pilot lithium processing plant to Serbia from Melbourne in the coming weeks. The work, undertaken at a science center on the outskirts of Melbourne, has found a way to economically extract lithium from jadarite, a mineral that has only...
Copper: Peru’s roadblocks hit Las Bambas mine once again
A four-day roadblock in Peru by protesters seeking greater benefits from natural resource exploitation is disrupting operations at MMG Ltd's Las Bambas copper mine, one of the country's largest. Residents of three communities in the Chumbivilcas province of the Andean...
Newmont to decide on $2 billion project in Peru by end of year
Newmont will make a decision on a $2 billion investment in its Yanacocha mine in the Cajamarca region of northern Peru before the end of the year, according to CEO Tom Palmer. Newmont plans to develop the first phase of sulfide deposits and an integrated processing...
Steel: world production up in June on an annual basis
Global crude steel production for the 64 countries reporting to the World Steel Association stood at 167.9 million tons (Mt) in June 2021, an increase of 11.6% over June 2020 but down 3.73% from May (167.9 Mt). Steel production by geographical area Africa produced 1.5...
Silver: bullish formation in progress
The precious metal, industrial par excellence shows a bullish conformation, both on a weekly and monthly basis. The formation of a pennant, which identifies a moment of slowdown of the trend in place is then destined to resume its run. The prices are currently...
Iron ore: price bends on China’s move to cut steel production
China's iron ore price fell for the fourth consecutive session, dropping more than 2.70% to its lowest level in nearly three weeks on prospects of easing demand on the government's decision to cut production. The price of Iron ore 62% FE - CFR China dollar/ton fell...
Copper: possible break up of 9450 $/ton
Stable phase in the month of July for copper quotations with fluctuations between 9130 $/ton and 9632 $/ton. At the moment prices are under pressure against the first real resistance located in the 9450 $/ton area (transit area of the bearish line drawn from the highs...
Nickel: BHP will be the supplier of Tesla
BHP Group reported Thursday that it has signed a nickel supply agreement with Tesla and will work with the electric carmaker to lower carbon emissions in the battery supply chain. Tesla CEO Elon Musk has urged miners to produce more nickel, with demand set to...
Copper: Ivanhoe’s Kamoa-Kakula exports first concentrate
Ivanhoe Mines' Kamoa-Kakula mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has begun exporting copper concentrate to international markets as the metal continues to trade near all-time highs. The first truckloads left the mine on July 17 and will be shipped...
Metal recycling: key to reducing emissions
According to Wood Mackenzie consumer awareness of carbon emissions from metals production for the energy transition will eventually spur the recycling industry and encourage the search for substitutes that could spoil the party for large manufacturing companies. An...
Iron ore: production down for Rio Tinto
Rio Tinto reported a 12% drop in quarterly iron ore shipments after storms hit its operations in Western Australia. The company reported that it now expects to ship near the lower end of its range of 325 million tons and 340 million tons in 2021, meaning it could be...
‘Zombie’ mines are coming back to life thanks to metal prices
The silver mine in Bosnia and Herzegovina that was shut down during the years of civil war that has gripped the region since the early 1990s could soon be reopened to benefit from an optimistic price outlook. Adriatic Metals Plc's Vares project could resume production...
US Dollar: What effects on commodities market
The US dollar seems to be recovering against the euro, the renminbi and the other major currencies (Jby,Gbp, Cad, Sek and Chf - summarized in the dollar index). By graphically analyzing, on a weekly basis, quotations started to rise again from the fundamental support...
BHP’s Cerro Colorado must start from zero on environmental plan
A Chilean court ruled Tuesday that BHP's Cerro Colorado copper mine will have to start over from zero on an environmental plan for a key mine maintenance project. The Antofagasta environmental court annulled the 2019 approval for the project, which includes work on a...
EU and Ukraine sign preliminary agreement on key raw materials
The European Union and Ukraine on Tuesday signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) covering critical raw materials and batteries. The move is part of the European Commission's action plan on critical raw materials announced in September to strengthen supplies of...
Peru: Castillo expects mining companies to accept tax changes
The gap between the business sector of the world's second-largest copper producer and the new leftist government is closing. Pedro Francke, Castillo's economic adviser, reported that he expected businesses would not oppose a planned overhaul of tax rules after dozens...
Copper: possible rebound in prices for July
From mid-May 2021 until June 21, 2021 copper prices corrected the bullish movement started in March 2020 (+144% new highs since 2009 in 10740 S/ton area). From June 21, 2021 prices started to settle, favoring a first recovery towards 9500 $/ton (currently prices are...
Lithium: supply chain threatened by geopolitical tensions
Geopolitical risks and tensions between the U.S. and China pose a threat to the global lithium supply chain, according to a new report from Fitch Solutions Country Risk & Industry Research. Increasingly tense relations between the U.S. (a rising battery producer...
Iron ore: price rises on Tangshan production recovery
Iron ore prices rose Monday, fueled by increased demand when Tangshan steel mills resumed production after China's centennial. Steel production at some producers has been limited due to the Communist Party's centennial and environmental policies, dropping blast...
Rare earth: Vital Metals becomes Canada’s leading producer
Vital Metals Limited has begun production of rare earth at its Nechalacho project in Canada's Northwest Territories. The company is now the first rare earth producer in Canada and the second in North America, in addition to California's Mountain Pass mine. CEO Geoff...
Copper: royalty reform could dampen investor appetite
The proposed amendments to Chile's mining royalty regime will not have a drastic impact on the country's production landscape in the short term. However, there is a clear risk that the amendments could undermine the continued appetite for making large-scale, long-term...
Vale’s Sudbury strike strains nickel supply
A strike at Vale SA's operations in Sudbury, Canada, is disrupting the market for nickel, which is key to powering electric vehicles. Sudbury is one of the world's few producers of nickel pellets, a form used to make alloys for the aerospace, electronics and nuclear...
Aluminum could anticipate bullish July movement
Since the May 2021 highs, primary aluminum has been in a broad triangular phase, with prices now pressuring against the upper extreme in the $2470/mt area. The current pattern identifies itself as a symmetrical triangle, with bullish/bearish implications depending on...
News of China’s first copper, zinc and aluminum auction does not impress markets
China has released details of its first round of non-ferrous metals auctions from its state reserves, and market reaction has been unsatisfactory. The National Food and Strategic Reserves Administration reported Tuesday that it will auction 20,000 tons of copper,...
Copper: preliminary production data for March 2021
Preliminary data released by the International Copper Study Group (ICSG) indicates that global copper mine production increased 3.7% in the first three months of 2021, with concentrate production up 5.5%. WORLD MINING PRODUCTION Global mine production began to recover...
China will auction the first batch of state metal reserves
China's State Reserves Administration reported that it would publicly auction a total of 100,000 tons of nonferrous metals early next month in the first round of a rare and much-anticipated release of its inventories. The National Food and Strategic Reserves...
Copper supply must double by 2050
Glencore CEO Ivan Glasenberg told the Qatar Economic Forum that a supply gap is growing in the metals the world needs to replace fossil fuels with renewable energy. According to Glasenberg, copper supplies need to increase by one million tons per year until 2050 to...
Europe takes steps to reduce dependence on China
Speaking at the summit of the European Raw Materials Alliance, European Commissioner for the Internal Market, Thierry Breton, expressed concern about the EU's dependence on third countries for 99 products, primarily raw materials (supply of rare earths, 98% of which...
Serbia could become the second European copper producer
Serbia's Zijin Mining, a wholly owned subsidiary of Zijin and backed by China, has received permission from the Serbian government to begin mining operations at the Cukaru Peki copper and gold mine, part of the Timok project, in the eastern part of the country. The...
Canada and EU together to reduce dependence on China
Canada and the European Union have launched a new partnership to secure critical mineral supply chains and reduce dependence on China. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau reported that with EU partners, he discussed what to do to build a cleaner economy for years...
Good turnaround performance for non-ferrous metals
Good turnaround performance for non-ferrous metals....positive day for all.....only primary aluminum seems to be struggling. Possible new weaknesses from next week...stay tuned with Commodity Evolution Our price estimates are for subscribers only. [button...
China’s preliminary May steel export data
China's preliminary May steel export data show a sharp decline (-33.86% on a monthly basis +19.8% on an annual basis).
All the copper from Congo’s new giant mine destined for China
Canada's Ivanhoe Mines has signed agreements with Chinese subsidiary Zijin Mining and trader Citic Metal to each sell 50% of the copper production from the first phase of its recently launched Kamoa-Kakula mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Ivanhoe...
New “cheap and easy” approach to extracting lithium from seawater
Researchers at King Abdullah University of Science and Technology have developed what they believe is a cost-effective way to extract high-purity lithium from seawater. Previous efforts to extract lithium from the mixture the metal makes along with sodium, magnesium...
Peru’s new president will have to deal with mining-related conflicts
More than 64% of the 191 social conflicts recorded in recent months in Peru are linked to social and environmental concerns related to mining operations. This is the reality that the country's new president will have to face. According to local media, this is the case...
Workers block rail line that supplies Cerrejon with coal
Former workers have again blocked the rail line of Colombian coal miner Cerrejon, the latest protest to hit the beleaguered miner's operations recently. Cerrejon, jointly owned by BHP Group, Anglo American Plc and Glencore Plc, has had repeated disagreements with...
What to expect in June on tin prices
Since the end of March 2020, tin prices, as well as most commodities, have developed a sharp rise, performing an unbelievable +142% (from lows to highs). What to expect then for June? Analyzing Uninterrupted Positive close: on a monthly basis, it is possible to...
Plastics: moderate increases in May. Italy, Plastic Tax postponed to 2022
The point on the Italian Plastic Tax. Yesterday, May 20, the Council of Ministers discussed the Decree Support Bis "Misure urgenti connesse all’emergenza da Covid-19, per le imprese, il lavoro, i giovani, la salute e i servizi territoriali". Among the measures...
May seasonality confirms a negative trend for the month
Seasonality in the May suggested, in most cases, that the first 10 days of the month non-ferrous metals would continue the current bullish impulse phase, but in the remaining days of the month this impulse would slow down. In fact, things are currently moving in this...
Ferrous metals divided on cutting China’s steel output
Soaring prices for a range of ferrous products, including steel, iron ore and coke, since April have further divided ferrous market sources inside and outside China over their views on the possibility of Chinese steel production cuts, despite Beijing's reiterations...
Chile’s 75% copper tax is increasingly a reality
Chile's lower house has approved a progressive rate on copper sales in what could become one of the heaviest tax burdens in the global mining sector, potentially stalling investment and raising prices. Lawmakers, who had already approved a bill to introduce a fixed 3%...
China suspends economic dialogue with Australia
China on Thursday suspended indefinitely all activities of the China-Australia Strategic Economic Dialogue. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin reported that the suspension was a "necessary and legitimate" response to Australia "abusing" the concept of...
Weak Chinese demand drives tin exports
Customs data from China indicate that the country was a net exporter of refined tin again in March. Net exports were about four times higher than in February. The data reveals that refined tin imports fell to 102 tons in March, down about 78%. This is the lowest level...
Copper price soars even as gloomy forecast for the future
Copper once again approached the crucial $10,000-per-ton level on Tuesday amid bullish sentiment and renewed supply concerns in the world's most important producing region. Copper's rally, which has more than doubled in price from its all-time lows, has been fueled by...
Plastics, Polynt composites price increases
Polynt Composites, an Italian company operating in the field of raw materials for the composites industry, has announced an increase of 400 euros/ton for all compounds. The decision was taken to balance the increase in raw material costs in Europe, as an effect of...
Congo may become the world’s fourth largest producer of cobalt
Congo's Entreprise Générale du Cobalt (EGC) could become the world's fourth-largest cobalt producer by 2021, according to a new report from Roskill. According to the company, if the state-owned company is able to capture all 8,000 tons of cobalt expected to be...
Chinese steel stocks fall further on sustained demand
Between March 26 and April 1, Chinese steel traders saw their finished steel inventories fall further, with a 1.6 million tonne week-on-week decline, faster than the previous week's 1.5 million tonne drop, mainly due to further strengthening demand. Inventories held...
Zinc close to 2750$/ton area
Zinc's downturn started on March 23 approached the first intermediate support in the area 2750$/ton (April 1, 2021). This intermediate level could give way, leaving room for quick pullbacks towards $2720. Also on a statistical level, in the last 5 years of trading,...
Bullish market outlook drives Chinese steel futures to all-time highs
Chinese steel futures prices have reached all-time highs lately, driven by bullish expectations for demand and the likelihood that steel production restrictions will remain in place throughout the year. The resulting rise in steel prices has bolstered the profits of...
Aluminum close to $2300 area
Aluminum quotations continue to strengthen, a situation due to currently unsustainable delivery times and costs. Despite this, prices are approaching a fundamental psychological level of $2300/ton. A lot of volatility will be created at these prices. Indicators on a...
An additional 10 million tons of copper is needed to meet demand
Within a decade, the world could face a massive shortage of what is arguably the most critical metal for global economies: copper. The copper industry needs to spend more than $100 billion to close what could be an annual supply deficit of 4.7 million metric tons by...
China’s steel suppliers brace for cut in tax rebates
China's steel mills and traders are gearing up to protect their business from the impact of possible cuts in export tax rebates on certain steel products, currently being considered by the central government. Industry sources say there is a new sense of urgency in the...
Non-ferrous metals down – Aluminum may follow the movement in the short term
In the last weeks there has been wide volatility on the markets, with the only non-ferrous metal (aluminum) still close to the recent highs (2240$/ton) now in the 2200$/ton area. A downward phase is now expected also for this metal, following the direction of the...
High volatility for zinc prices
In the last 1 hour, zinc prices have registered a 4.50% movement between the opening of 8 am (2749.50$/ton) and its minimum (2627$/ton), to then recover part of the lost ground (2720$/ton at 9.30 am). In this way the prices have created a long "spike" (lower line...
Aluminum prices negative for March
Could the seasonality of March be pushing aluminum prices down? From chart 2. it sure looks like prices have been moving negatively in the month under review for the past 30-15-10-5 years. From chart 1. today could be the last day of rebound for aluminum prices, and...
Increased volatility in non-ferrous metal near major selling levels
On the last trading day, all major non-ferrous metals touched new highs, with copper, aluminum and zinc recording $9616/mt, $2242/mt and $2952/mt, respectively. All of these levels tested important selling areas, with the metals now giving way to new...
Chinese steel prices likely to remain high as demand recovers
According to the latest monthly report from the China Iron & Steel Association (CISA) released on February 23, steel prices in China are likely to continue at their current high levels, supported by a recovery in demand after the Chinese New Year holiday and high...
Steel price – Our Commodity Evolution Steel Price Index forecasts movements
Our Commodity Evolution Steel Price Index showed already in the first days of February the first upward movements, which then occurred on the price of Flat HRC China and other steels in the Europe - Turkey - Russia areas. There is a possibility of further rises in the...
Zinc – Prices could reverse in the short term
After 3 weeks of the zinc price consecutive rise, the fourth week (the current one) is creating a Japanese candle called shooting star. This pattern does not have the same power as the other stars signals, however the prices are right behind an important price level...
Strong backwardation for tin
The spread between cash and 3-month tin stands today at about $3900/mt. We are in a strong backwardation situation. With deposits at their lowest since 2016 (1,400ton in Lme warehouses) and concerns about a shortage of current supply have pushed ip the current price.
Copper – Price marks new highs since 2012
New upward impulse for copper which today registers a price excursion (between highs and lows) of 310$/ton (+3.50%). On a technical level, the upward break of the wide congestion between $4320 and $7385 (Dec 2012 to Dec 2020) projects a second long-term price target...
Non-Ferrous Scrap – Ferrous Scrap Non – Ferrous Metal Alloys prices on Commodity Evolution
Commodity Evolution, with specific algorithms associated with independent market research and surveys (we also use open and big data - we process it by producing information with robust statistical and machine learning methods), provides prices of more than 437 types...
Aluminium – Chinese imports grow faster than exports
By analyzing the components of the trade balance relating to China's Aluminium and articles thereof, it is possible to identify how from May imports on a cumulative basis (Import Trend) began to grow much faster than exports, with a drop in August/September and a...
Japan’s steel exports fall 13% y/y in January
According to preliminary data released by Japan's Ministry of Finance on February 17, Japan's steel exports of all types and shapes fell 13.3% year-on-year to about 2.43 million tons in January, which is the ninth consecutive month with year-on-year declines. Japan's...
Increased demand for steel could further drive up Turkish imported scrap prices
Turkish imported scrap prices have increased by $15-20/ton depending on recently concluded contracts. Market participants believe that prices could take a clear direction once China returns to replenish cargo after the holidays. In a recently concluded deal, about...
Steel 2021 positive outlook
According to the European Steel Association in 2020 (Eurofer), steel consumption in the EU was 134 mln tons, down 13% compared to 2019. The year just ended is the worst since 2009 and reflects a contraction on both the production and import side. The outlook for 2021...
Global scrap prices rebound
Turkey's imported scrap prices have shown strong fluctuation in recent deals. Buyers are actively booking new cargoes for March 21 shipments due to increased domestic demand for finished steel. Japan's main EAF steel mill, Tokyo Steel has increased the purchase price...
Aluminum close to highs
Aluminum has reached December 2020 highs in the $2093/ton area (100% target of Fibonacci expansion from the bearish channel breakout point). Will it break up or generate an initial correction? Analyzing the "Uninterrupted Close" statistic, aluminum has closed positive...
Global scrap prices rebound
Turkey's imported scrap prices have shown strong fluctuation in recent deals. Buyers are actively booking new cargoes for March 21 shipments due to increased domestic demand for finished steel. Japan's main EAF steel mill, Tokyo Steel has increased the purchase price...
Commodity Insight – Aluminium
Great upward momentum for London-listed aluminum, with prices now in the $2070 area, approaching the recent highs of late December 2020 at $2090/ton. Possible new tests of this level. Will prices succeed in to the break up or will there be new reversals? Analyzing the...
Chinese New Year could increase steel consumption
The Chinese New Year is only a week away, taking place from 11 to 17 February, usually a sacred period for family unions. But unlike other years, this year migrant workers in China's major urban centres will be encouraged by the central government to stay where they...
Commodity Insight – Copper
As written in the January 26th post, copper prices could have broken down through the support at $7800 and they did. UpDate - After reaching the highs of 2012 in the $8237/mt area, copper prices have started a downward spiral, included in a descending channel that may...
Commodity Insight – Copper
The copper settles in a narrow range between $8230 and $7800. The negative divergence of the MACD indicator suggests a loss of strength in the metal, which could extend a possible correction below $7800 towards the wider targets in the $7700 and $7400 area. The medium...
Commodity Insight – Aluminium
The strong rally in aluminium that started in March last year is slowing down slightly. However, prices are above all major dynamic supports (200- and 50-week moving averages). Last week's pullback may have triggered a new upward impulse with short-term targets in the...
Iron ore exceeds the high of the last 7 years
Iron ore spot prices continue to trend upward, confirming the trend that began in May. The price has surpassed the high seen in 2013 ($130/ton), moving above the $150/ton area. Demand from China's steel industry remains strong, with production expected to exceed 1...